ArticlePloS one2016
Clinical Malaria Transmission Trends and Its Association with Climatic Variables in Tubu Village, Botswana: A Retrospective Analysis.
Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Impact of flooding events on waterborne and vector-borne infections: a systematic review.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Pooled it
- Association between temperature and malaria (1959-2019): a systematic review and meta-analysis.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025Pooled it
- Epidemiology of floods in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review of health outcomes.BMC public health · 2022Pooled it
- Implications of Changing Temperatures on the Growth, Fecundity and Survival of Intermediate Host Snails of Schistosomiasis: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Pooled it
- Climatic and governance determinants of malaria transmission in Rivers State, Nigeria.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Integration of sentinel surveillance and climate factors to accelerate malaria elimination in a changing climate of Senegal.Science in One Health · 2025Article
- Potential impact of climatic factors on malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2021: a time-series analysis.Malaria journal · 2024Article
- Trend of Malaria Burden Among Residents of Kisii County, Kenya After More Than a Decade Usage of Artemisinin Combined Therapies, 11-Year Laboratory Based Retrospective Study.Infection and drug resistance · 2022Article
- LOCAL KNOWLEDGE OF ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES AGAINST MALARIA ENDEMICITY IN THE OKAVANGO DELTA, BOTSWANA.African journal of infectious diseases · 2022Article
- The Complex Epidemiological Relationship between Flooding Events and Human Outbreaks of Mosquito-Borne Diseases: A Scoping Review.Environmental health perspectives · 2021Article
- Are Vulnerable Communities Thoroughly Informed on Mosquito Bio-Ecology and Burden?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Past and current biological factors affecting malaria in the low transmission setting of Botswana: A review.Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2020Review
- Distribution of Anopheles mosquito species, their vectorial role and profiling of knock-down resistance mutations in Botswana.Parasitology research · 2020Article
- Retrospective Analysis of Malaria Cases in a Potentially High Endemic Area of Morogoro Rural District, Eastern Tanzania.Research and reports in tropical medicine · 2020Article
- Article
- Spatio-temporal prevalence of malaria and anaemia in relation to agro-ecosystems in Mvomero district, Tanzania.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Impact of the 2013 Floods on the Incidence of Malaria in Almanagil Locality, Gezira State, Sudan.PLoS currents · 2018Article
- Spatial modelling of malaria cases associated with environmental factors in South Sumatra, Indonesia.Malaria journal · 2018Article
- Sensitivity of vegetation to climate variability and its implications for malaria risk in Baringo, Kenya.PloS one · 2018Article
- Support for research towards understanding the population health vulnerabilities to vector-borne diseases: increasing resilience under climate change conditions in Africa.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2017Article
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4 authors.
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Abstract
Good knowledge on the interactions between climatic variables and malaria can be very useful for predicting outbreaks and preparedness interventions. We investigated clinical malaria transmission patterns and its temporal relationship with climatic variables in Tubu village, Botswana. A 5-year retrospective time series data analysis was conducted to determine the transmission patterns of clinical malaria cases at Tubu Health Post and its relationship with rainfall, flood discharge, flood extent, mean minimum, maximum and average temperatures. Data was obtained from clinical records and respective institutions for the period July 2005 to June 2010, presented graphically and analysed using the Univariate ANOVA and Pearson cross-correlation coefficient tests. Peak malaria season occurred between October and May with the highest cumulative incidence of clinical malaria cases being recorded in February. Most of the cases were individuals aged >5 years. Associations between the incidence of clinical malaria cases and several factors were strong at lag periods of 1 month; rainfall (r = 0.417), mean minimum temperature (r = 0.537), mean average temperature (r = 0.493); and at lag period of 6 months for flood extent (r = 0.467) and zero month for flood discharge (r = 0.497). The effect of mean maximum temperature was strongest at 2-month lag period (r = 0.328). Although malaria transmission patterns varied from year to year the trends were similar to those observed in sub-Saharan Africa. Age group >5 years experienced the greatest burden of clinical malaria probably due to the effects of the national malaria elimination programme. Rainfall, flood discharge and extent, mean minimum and mean average temperatures showed some correlation with the incidence of clinical malaria cases.
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