Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26981327›Full record

ArticlePLoS currents2016

Rapid and Near Real-Time Assessments of Population Displacement Using Mobile Phone Data Following Disasters: The 2015 Nepal Earthquake.

Robin Wilson, Elisabeth Zu Erbach-Schoenberg, Maximilian Albert, Daniel Power, Simon Tudge, Miguel Gonzalez, Sam Guthrie, Heather Chamberlain, Christopher Brooks, Christopher Hughes and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS currents, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Access to Essential Services: A Critical Factor for Predicting Recovery and Quantifying Resilience.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
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  5. Mixing individual and collective behaviors to predict out-of-routine mobility.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Toward data-driven, dynamical complex systems approaches to disaster resilience.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  13. An Evaluation of Geo-located Twitter Data for Measuring Human Migration.International journal of geographical information science : IJGIS · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Robin WilsonFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Geography & Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Elisabeth Zu Erbach-SchoenbergFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Geography & Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Maximilian AlbertFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Faculty of Engineering & the Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Daniel PowerFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Electronics & Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Simon TudgeFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Electronics & Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Miguel GonzalezFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Electronics & Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Sam GuthrieFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Politics & International Relations, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Heather ChamberlainFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Geography & Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Christopher BrooksFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Geography & Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Christopher HughesFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Electronics & Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK; Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Southampton, UK.
Lenka PitonakovaFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Electronics & Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Caroline BuckeeFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA.
Xin LuFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden; College of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.
Erik WetterFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm, Sweden.
Andrew TatemFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Geography & Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Linus BengtssonFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden; Dept. of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institute, Sweden.

Funding

Transmission ProjectU19AI089674 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MATTHEW G DORSEY · 2010 to 2026
$29.3M
NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI089674Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionSudden impact disasters often result in the displacement of large numbers of people. These movements can occur prior to events, due to early warning messages, or take place post-event due to damages to shelters and livelihoods as well as a result of long-term reconstruction efforts. Displaced populations are especially vulnerable and often in need of support. However, timely and accurate data on the numbers and destinations of displaced populations are extremely challenging to collect across temporal and spatial scales, especially in the aftermath of disasters. Mobile phone call detail records were shown to be a valid data source for estimates of population movements after the 2010 Haiti earthquake, but their potential to provide near real-time ongoing measurements of population displacements immediately after a natural disaster has not been demonstrated.

methodsA computational architecture and analytical capacity were rapidly deployed within nine days of the Nepal earthquake of 25th April 2015, to provide spatiotemporally detailed estimates of population displacements from call detail records based on movements of 12 million de-identified mobile phones users.

resultsAnalysis shows the evolution of population mobility patterns after the earthquake and the patterns of return to affected areas, at a high level of detail. Particularly notable is the movement of an estimated 390,000 people above normal from the Kathmandu valley after the earthquake, with most people moving to surrounding areas and the highly-populated areas in the central southern area of Nepal. DISCUSSION: This analysis provides an unprecedented level of information about human movement after a natural disaster, provided within a very short timeframe after the earthquake occurred. The patterns revealed using this method are almost impossible to find through other methods, and are of great interest to humanitarian agencies.

Identifiers

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.