Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26977066›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2016

Understanding how biodiversity unfolds through time under neutral theory.

Olivier Missa, Calvin Dytham, Hélène Morlon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Towards an integrative understanding of soil biodiversity.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Predicting the Impact of Describing New Species on Phylogenetic Patterns.Integrative organismal biology (Oxford, England) · 2019
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The challenges to inferring the regulators of biodiversity in deep time.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2016
    Article
  9. Quantifying the effects of the break up of Pangaea on global terrestrial diversification with neutral theory.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Olivier MissaInstitute of Biology, Ecole Normale Supérieure, 46 rue d'Ulm, Paris 75005, France missa@biologie.ens.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4330-5192
Calvin DythamBiology Department, University of York, Wentworth Way, York YO10 5DD, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4111-9484
Hélène MorlonInstitute of Biology, Ecole Normale Supérieure, 46 rue d'Ulm, Paris 75005, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3195-7521

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Theoretical predictions for biodiversity patterns are typically derived under the assumption that ecological systems have reached a dynamic equilibrium. Yet, there is increasing evidence that various aspects of ecological systems, including (but not limited to) species richness, are not at equilibrium. Here, we use simulations to analyse how biodiversity patterns unfold through time. In particular, we focus on the relative time required for various biodiversity patterns (macroecological or phylogenetic) to reach equilibrium. We simulate spatially explicit metacommunities according to the Neutral Theory of Biodiversity (NTB) under three modes of speciation, which differ in how evenly a parent species is split between its two daughter species. We find that species richness stabilizes first, followed by species area relationships (SAR) and finally species abundance distributions (SAD). The difference in timing of equilibrium between these different macroecological patterns is the largest when the split of individuals between sibling species at speciation is the most uneven. Phylogenetic patterns of biodiversity take even longer to stabilize (tens to hundreds of times longer than species richness) so that equilibrium predictions from neutral theory for these patterns are unlikely to be relevant. Our results suggest that it may be unwise to assume that biodiversity patterns are at equilibrium and provide a first step in studying how these patterns unfold through time.

Indexed as

BiodiversityBiological EvolutionModels, BiologicalAnimal DistributionAnimalsComputer SimulationGenetic SpeciationTime Factorsdynamic equilibriumNeutral Theory of Biodiversityphylogenetic patternspecies abundance distributionspecies area relationshiptemporal predictions

Identifiers

PMID26977066
PMCPMC4810819

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.