Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26966015›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN2016

Race, APOL1 Risk, and eGFR Decline in the General Population.

Morgan E Grams, Casey M Rebholz, Yuan Chen, Andreea M Rawlings, Michelle M Estrella, Elizabeth Selvin, Lawrence J Appel, Adrienne Tin, Josef Coresh

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
89citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

89 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2019
    Pooled it
  4. Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology · 2017
    Trial
  5. Kidney international reports · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Should Nephrology Clinical Trials Account for Apolipoprotein L1 Gene Risk Status?Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Interaction BetweenKidney international reports · 2025
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Kidney medicine · 2024
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Article

29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Morgan E GramsDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and Department of Epidemiology and mgrams2@jhmi.edu.
Casey M RebholzDepartment of Epidemiology and.
Yuan ChenDepartment of Epidemiology and.
Andreea M RawlingsDepartment of Epidemiology and.
Michelle M EstrellaDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and.
Elizabeth SelvinDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and Department of Epidemiology and.
Lawrence J AppelDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and Department of Epidemiology and.
Adrienne TinDepartment of Epidemiology and.
Josef CoreshDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and Department of Epidemiology and Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.

Funding

CARDIOVASCULAR EPIDEMIOLOGY INSTITUTIONAL TRAININGT32HL007024 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Elizabeth Selvin · 1985 to 2026
$17.5M
RENAL DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING GRANTT32DK007732 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CREWS, DEIDRA CANDICE · 1995 to 2024
$7.7M
The comparative effectiveness of kidney transplantation in advanced CKDK08DK092287 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAMS, MORGAN ERIKA · 2012 to 2016
$793k
Research and Mentoring in the Clinical Epidemiology of Type 2 DiabetesK24DK106414 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2015 to 2019
$654k
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005GNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100006CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100010CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100012CNHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007024NIDDK NIH HHS K08 DK092287NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK106414NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007732
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The APOL1 high-risk genotype, present in approximately 13% of blacks in the United States, is a risk factor for kidney function decline in populations with CKD. It is unknown whether genetic screening is indicated in the general population. We evaluated the prognosis of APOL1 high-risk status in participants in the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, including associations with eGFR decline, variability in eGFR decline, and related adverse health events (AKI, ESRD, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, pre-ESRD and total hospitalization rate, and mortality). Among 15,140 ARIC participants followed from 1987-1989 (baseline) to 2011-2013, 75.3% were white, 21.5% were black/APOL1 low-risk, and 3.2% were black/APOL1 high-risk. In a demographic-adjusted analysis, blacks had a higher risk for all assessed adverse health events; however, in analyses adjusted for comorbid conditions and socioeconomic status, blacks had a higher risk for hypertension, diabetes, and ESRD only. Among blacks, the APOL1 high-risk genotype associated only with higher risk of ESRD in a fully adjusted analysis. Black race and APOL1 high-risk status were associated with faster eGFR decline (P<0.001 for each). However, we detected substantial overlap among the groups: median (10th-90th percentile) unadjusted eGFR decline was 1.5 (1.0-2.2) ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year for whites, 2.1 (1.4-3.1) ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year for blacks with APOL1 low-risk status, and 2.3 (1.5-3.5) ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year for blacks with APOL1 high-risk status. The high variability in eGFR decline among blacks with and without the APOL1 high-risk genotype suggests that population-based screening is not yet justified.

Indexed as

Black or African AmericanGlomerular Filtration RateWhite PeopleApolipoprotein L1ApolipoproteinsFemaleGenotypeHumansLipoproteins, HDLMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRenal Insufficiency, ChronicUnited StatesAPOL1 protein, humanApolipoprotein L1ApolipoproteinsLipoproteins, HDLend-stage renal diseaseethnicityglomerular filtration rate

Identifiers

PMID26966015
PMCPMC5004654

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.