Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26951361›Full record

ArticleClinical trials (London, England)2016

Adherence adjustment in the Coronary Drug Project: A call for better per-protocol effect estimates in randomized trials.

Eleanor J Murray, Miguel A Hernán

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical trials (London, England), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03672630 (Comparison of Two- Versus Three-antibiotic Therapy for Pulmonary Mycobacterium Avium Complex Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 29 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03672630 phase2 / phase3completednot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

Comparison of Two- Versus Three-antibiotic Therapy for Pulmonary Mycobacterium Avium Complex Disease

TypeinterventionalSponsorKevin WinthropRan2019 to 2026Enrolled474ConditionsMycobacterium Avium Complex, Nontuberculous Mycobacterium InfectionArmsAzithromycin, Ethambutol, Rifampin
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  14. Reply to TaitoAmerican journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Eleanor J MurrayDepartments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA emurray@mail.harvard.edu.
Miguel A HernánDepartments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

Estimating Effects of Interventions in Longitudinal DataR01HL080644 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2005 to 2013
$4.0M
Dynamic strategies for the clinical management of HIV diseaseR01AI102634 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2013 to 2017
$2.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080644NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn many randomized controlled trials, patients and doctors are more interested in the per-protocol effect than in the intention-to-treat effect. However, valid estimation of the per-protocol effect generally requires adjustment for prognostic factors associated with adherence. These adherence adjustments have been strongly questioned in the clinical trials community, especially after 1980 when the Coronary Drug Project team found that adherers to placebo had lower 5-year mortality than non-adherers to placebo.

methodsWe replicated the original Coronary Drug Project findings from 1980 and re-analyzed the Coronary Drug Project data using technical and conceptual developments that have become established since 1980. Specifically, we used logistic models for binary outcomes, decoupled the definition of adherence from loss to follow-up, and adjusted for pre-randomization covariates via standardization and for post-randomization covariates via inverse probability weighting.

resultsThe original Coronary Drug Project analysis reported a difference in 5-year mortality between adherers and non-adherers in the placebo arm of 9.4 percentage points. Using modern approaches, we found that this difference was reduced to 2.5 (95% confidence interval: -2.1 to 7.0).

conclusionValid estimation of per-protocol effects may be possible in randomized clinical trials when analysts use appropriate methods to adjust for post-randomization variables.

Indexed as

Medication AdherenceCoronary DiseaseData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansIntention to Treat AnalysisLogistic ModelsMaleRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRiskTreatment OutcomeadherenceCoronary Drug Projectintention-to-treat effectinverse probability weightingPer-protocol effect

Identifiers

PMID26951361
PMCPMC4942353

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.