Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26946426›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of epidemiology2016

Cost-benefit analysis of the polypill in the primary prevention of myocardial infarction and stroke.

Nicholas J Wald, Johannes Michiel Luteijn, Joan K Morris, David Taylor, Peter Oppenheimer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of epidemiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nicholas J WaldWolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, EC1M 6BQ, UK. n.j.wald@qmul.ac.uk.
Johannes Michiel LuteijnWolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, EC1M 6BQ, UK.
Joan K MorrisWolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, EC1M 6BQ, UK.
David TaylorUCL School of Pharmacy, BMA/Tavistock House, London, WC1H 9JP, UK.
Peter OppenheimerChrist Church, Oxford, OX1 1DP, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is a public health priority. To assess the costs and benefits of a Polypill Prevention Programme using a daily 4-component polypill from age 50 in the UK, we determined the life years gained without a first myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, together with the total service cost (or saving) and the net cost (or saving) per year of life gained without a first MI or stroke. This was estimated on the basis of a 50 % uptake and a previously published 83 % treatment adherence. The total years of life gained without a first MI or stroke in a mature programme is 990,000 each year in the UK. If the cost of the Polypill Prevention Programme were £1 per person per day, the total cost would be £4.76 bn and, given the savings (at 2014 prices) of £2.65 bn arising from the disease prevented, there would be a net cost of £2.11 bn representing a net cost per year of life gained without a first MI or stroke of £2120. The results are robust to sensitivity analyses. A national Polypill Prevention Programme would have a substantial effect in preventing MIs and strokes and be cost-effective.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisAgedAged, 80 and overAmlodipineAspirinCardiovascular AgentsCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesHumansHydrochlorothiazideLosartanMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionPolypharmacyPrimary PreventionAmlodipineAspirinCardiovascular AgentsHydrochlorothiazideLosartanSimvastatinCardiovascular diseasesCost–benefit analysisMyocardial infarctionPolypillPrimary preventionStroke

Identifiers

PMID26946426
PMCPMC4877433

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.