ArticleEcology and evolution2016
Gillespie eco-evolutionary models (GEMs) reveal the role of heritable trait variation in eco-evolutionary dynamics.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Eco-evolutionary dynamics lead to functionally robust and redundant communities.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- From friend to foe and back: coevolutionary transitions in the mutualism-antagonism continuum.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Geographic variation in evolutionary rescue under climate change in a crop pest-predator system.Evolutionary applications · 2024Article
- Stochasticity directs adaptive evolution toward nonequilibrium evolutionary attractors.Ecology · 2023Article
- Local adaptation to climate anomalies relates to species phylogeny.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Genetic and plastic rewiring of food webs under climate change.The Journal of animal ecology · 2021Review
- Trophic cascades alter eco-evolutionary dynamics and body size evolution.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- Evolutionary tracking is determined by differential selection on demographic rates and density dependence.Ecology and evolution · 2020Article
- Ecological pleiotropy and indirect effects alter the potential for evolutionary rescue.Evolutionary applications · 2019Article
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Abstract
Heritable trait variation is a central and necessary ingredient of evolution. Trait variation also directly affects ecological processes, generating a clear link between evolutionary and ecological dynamics. Despite the changes in variation that occur through selection, drift, mutation, and recombination, current eco-evolutionary models usually fail to track how variation changes through time. Moreover, eco-evolutionary models assume fitness functions for each trait and each ecological context, which often do not have empirical validation. We introduce a new type of model, Gillespie eco-evolutionary models (GEMs), that resolves these concerns by tracking distributions of traits through time as eco-evolutionary dynamics progress. This is done by allowing change to be driven by the direct fitness consequences of model parameters within the context of the underlying ecological model, without having to assume a particular fitness function. GEMs work by adding a trait distribution component to the standard Gillespie algorithm - an approach that models stochastic systems in nature that are typically approximated through ordinary differential equations. We illustrate GEMs with the Rosenzweig-MacArthur consumer-resource model. We show not only how heritable trait variation fuels trait evolution and influences eco-evolutionary dynamics, but also how the erosion of variation through time may hinder eco-evolutionary dynamics in the long run. GEMs can be developed for any parameter in any ordinary differential equation model and, furthermore, can enable modeling of multiple interacting traits at the same time. We expect GEMs will open the door to a new direction in eco-evolutionary and evolutionary modeling by removing long-standing modeling barriers, simplifying the link between traits, fitness, and dynamics, and expanding eco-evolutionary treatment of a greater diversity of ecological interactions. These factors make GEMs much more than a modeling advance, but an important conceptual advance that bridges ecology and evolution through the central concept of heritable trait variation.
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