Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26938061›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Improving the Prognostic Ability through Better Use of Standard Clinical Data - The Nottingham Prognostic Index as an Example.

Klaus-Jürgen Winzer, Anika Buchholz, Martin Schumacher, Willi Sauerbrei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Klaus-Jürgen WinzerCharité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Klinik für Gynäkologie mit Brustzentrum, Berlin, Germany.
Anika BuchholzUniversitätsklinikum Freiburg, Institut für Medizinische Biometrie und Statistik, Department für Medizinische Biometrie und Medizinische Informatik, Freiburg, Germany.
Martin SchumacherUniversitätsklinikum Freiburg, Institut für Medizinische Biometrie und Statistik, Department für Medizinische Biometrie und Medizinische Informatik, Freiburg, Germany.
Willi SauerbreiUniversitätsklinikum Freiburg, Institut für Medizinische Biometrie und Statistik, Department für Medizinische Biometrie und Medizinische Informatik, Freiburg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrognostic factors and prognostic models play a key role in medical research and patient management. The Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) is a well-established prognostic classification scheme for patients with breast cancer. In a very simple way, it combines the information from tumor size, lymph node stage and tumor grade. For the resulting index cutpoints are proposed to classify it into three to six groups with different prognosis. As not all prognostic information from the three and other standard factors is used, we will consider improvement of the prognostic ability using suitable analysis approaches. METHODS AND

findingsReanalyzing overall survival data of 1560 patients from a clinical database by using multivariable fractional polynomials and further modern statistical methods we illustrate suitable multivariable modelling and methods to derive and assess the prognostic ability of an index. Using a REMARK type profile we summarize relevant steps of the analysis. Adding the information from hormonal receptor status and using the full information from the three NPI components, specifically concerning the number of positive lymph nodes, an extended NPI with improved prognostic ability is derived.

conclusionsThe prognostic ability of even one of the best established prognostic index in medicine can be improved by using suitable statistical methodology to extract the full information from standard clinical data. This extended version of the NPI can serve as a benchmark to assess the added value of new information, ranging from a new single clinical marker to a derived index from omics data. An established benchmark would also help to harmonize the statistical analyses of such studies and protect against the propagation of many false promises concerning the prognostic value of new measurements. Statistical methods used are generally available and can be used for similar analyses in other diseases.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorBreast NeoplasmsFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateLymphatic MetastasisMultivariate AnalysisNeoplasm GradingPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsQuality ImprovementReceptors, Cell SurfaceReference StandardsSeverity of Illness IndexTumor BurdenBiomarkers, TumorReceptors, Cell Surface

Identifiers

PMID26938061
PMCPMC4777365

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.