Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26913734›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgery2016

External Validation of Risk Stratification Models Predicting the Immediate Mortality After Open Repair of Ruptured AAA.

Payman Majd, Spyridon Mylonas, Michael Gawenda, Jan Brunkwall

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of surgery, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 38% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Payman MajdDepartment of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany. mir.majd@uk-koeln.de.
Spyridon MylonasDepartment of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Michael GawendaDepartment of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Jan BrunkwallDepartment of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
University Hospital Cologne · DEUniversity of Cologne · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreoperative risk stratification of the immediate postoperative death after surgery may be helpful for the decision-making for patients with ruptured AAAs (rAAs). The purpose of this study was to apply and validate the Glasgow aneurysm score (GAS) and the Hardman Index (HI) in predicting 30-day/in-hospital mortality in open surgical repair (OSR) and endovascular repair (rEVAR) of rAAAs.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective review of a prospectively created database including all patients with a rAAA referred to our Institution between August 1998 and December 2014. Primary outcome was 30-day/in-hospital mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors. The receiver-operator characteristic curve was used to determine the value of the HI and GAS in predicting 30-day/in-hospital death.

resultsA total of 150 patients (130 patients received OSR, 20 patients rEVAR) were included in our analysis. The 30-day/in-hospital mortality was 34.0 % for the entire cohort: 36.15 % for OSR group and 20.0 % for rEVAR group (p 0.210). A multivariate analysis in the OSR group evidenced that unconsciousness was a statistically significant [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 8.00] predictor of 30-day/in-hospital mortality. The mean GAS was 86.9 ± 16.1 for the OSR group and 88.1 ± 11.2 for the rEVAR group (p 0.773). The AUC for GAS was 0.805 among OSR patients and 0.975 among rEVAR patients. The mean HI in the OSR group was 1.11 ± 1.0 and the AUC for HI was 0.82.

conclusionsSurgical repair of rAAAs is still associated with a considerable mortality rate. We confirmed the great discriminative ability of GAS in patients with rAAAs treated with OSR. With regard to HI, this scoring system could accurately predict early mortality after OSR in our cohort but failed to identify patients at highest risk for postoperative mortality.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityVascular Surgical ProceduresAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAortic Aneurysm, AbdominalAortic RuptureDatabases, FactualEndovascular ProceduresFemaleHeart DiseasesHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate Analysis

Identifiers

PMID26913734
OpenAlexW2289196242

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.