Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26908518›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2016

Long-term exposure to ambient ozone and mortality: a quantitative systematic review and meta-analysis of evidence from cohort studies.

R W Atkinson, B K Butland, C Dimitroulopoulou, M R Heal, J R Stedman, N Carslaw, D Jarvis, C Heaviside, S Vardoulakis, H Walton and 1 more

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Exposure to long-term ambient air pollution and lung function in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Mortality and Morbidity Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low-Level PMResearch report (Health Effects Institute) · 2021
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Environmental Risk Factors and Health: An Umbrella Review of Meta-Analyses.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  7. Long-term exposure to NOEnvironment international · 2020
    Pooled it
  8. Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollutants and Cancer Mortality: A Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018
    Pooled it
  9. Review
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  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Divergent trends and regional disparities in PMFrontiers in public health · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

R W AtkinsonPopulation Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, London, UK.
B K ButlandPopulation Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, London, UK.
C DimitroulopoulouEnvironmental Change Department, Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England, Oxon, UK.
M R HealSchool of Chemistry, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
J R StedmanRICARDO-AEA, Harwell IBC, Didcot, Oxfordshire, UK.
N CarslawEnvironment Department, University of York, York, UK.
D JarvisNational Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment & Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
C HeavisideEnvironmental Change Department, Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England, Oxon, UK.
S VardoulakisEnvironmental Change Department, Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England, Oxon, UK.
H WaltonMRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9252-3962
H R AndersonPopulation Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, London, UK MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, King's College London, London, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesWhile there is good evidence for associations between short-term exposure to ozone and a range of adverse health outcomes, the evidence from narrative reviews for long-term exposure is suggestive of associations with respiratory mortality only. We conducted a systematic, quantitative evaluation of the evidence from cohort studies, reporting associations between long-term exposure to ozone and mortality.

methodsCohort studies published in peer-reviewed journals indexed in EMBASE and MEDLINE to September 2015 and PubMed to October 2015 and cited in reviews/key publications were identified via search strings using terms relating to study design, pollutant and health outcome. Study details and estimate information were extracted and used to calculate standardised effect estimates expressed as HRs per 10 ppb increment in long-term ozone concentrations.

results14 publications from 8 cohorts presented results for ozone and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. We found no evidence of associations between long-term annual O3 concentrations and the risk of death from all causes, cardiovascular or respiratory diseases, or lung cancer. 4 cohorts assessed ozone concentrations measured during the warm season. Summary HRs for cardiovascular and respiratory causes of death derived from 3 cohorts were 1.01 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.02) and 1.03 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.05) per 10 ppb, respectively.

conclusionsOur quantitative review revealed a paucity of independent studies regarding the associations between long-term exposure to ozone and mortality. The potential impact of climate change and increasing anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors on ozone levels worldwide suggests further studies of the long-term effects of exposure to high ozone levels are warranted.

Indexed as

MortalityAir PollutantsAir PollutionCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathCohort StudiesHumansOzoneRespiratory Tract DiseasesRisk FactorsSeasonsTime FactorsAir PollutantsOzoneAir PollutionEPIDEMIOLOGYMortalityOzonePUBLIC HEALTHSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID26908518
PMCPMC4769417

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.