Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26907973›Full record

ArticleJournal of hepatology2016

HCV kinetic and modeling analyses indicate similar time to cure among sofosbuvir combination regimens with daclatasvir, simeprevir or ledipasvir.

Harel Dahari, Laetitia Canini, Frederik Graw, Susan L Uprichard, Evaldo S A Araújo, Guillaume Penaranda, Emilie Coquet, Laurent Chiche, Aurelie Riso, Christophe Renou and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of hepatology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 46 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
46citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

46 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Harel DahariThe Program for Experimental & Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, USA; Theoretical Biology & Biophysics Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA. Electronic address: harel.dahari@gmail.com.
Laetitia CaniniThe Program for Experimental & Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, USA; Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Frederik GrawCenter for Modeling and Simulation in the Biosciences, BioQuant Center, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
Susan L UprichardThe Program for Experimental & Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, USA.
Evaldo S A AraújoUniversity of Sao Paulo Hospital das Clınicas, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Guillaume PenarandaLaboratoire Alphabio, Marseille, France.
Emilie CoquetInternal Medicine and Infectious Disease, Hôpital Européen, Marseille, France.
Laurent ChicheInternal Medicine and Infectious Disease, Hôpital Européen, Marseille, France.
Aurelie RisoDivision of Hepatology, Hôpital Saint Joseph, Marseille, France.
Christophe RenouDivision of Hepatology, CH Hyères, Hyères, France.
Marc BourliereDivision of Hepatology, Hôpital Saint Joseph, Marseille, France.
Scott J CotlerThe Program for Experimental & Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, USA.
Philippe HalfonLaboratoire Alphabio, Marseille, France; Internal Medicine and Infectious Disease, Hôpital Européen, Marseille, France. Electronic address: philippe.halfon@alphabio.fr.

Funding

Collaborative Integration of HCV Molecular Virology and Mathematical ModelingR01AI078881 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI PERELSON, ALAN S, UPRICHARD, SUSAN L. · 2011 to 2025
$7.5M
COBRE Center for Evolutionary and Theoretical ImmunologyP20GM103452 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO · PI LOKER, ERIC SAMUEL · 2012 to 2013
$4.2M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/L001330/1NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI078881NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM103452
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsRecent clinical trials of direct-acting-antiviral agents (DAAs) against hepatitis C virus (HCV) achieved >90% sustained virological response (SVR) rates, suggesting that cure often took place before the end of treatment (EOT). We sought to evaluate retrospectively whether early response kinetics can provide the basis to individualize therapy to achieve optimal results while reducing duration and cost.

methods58 chronic HCV patients were treated with 12-week sofosbuvir+simeprevir (n=19), sofosbuvir+daclatasvir (n=19), or sofosbuvir+ledipasvir in three French referral centers. HCV was measured at baseline, day 2, every other week, EOT and 12weeks post EOT. Mathematical modeling was used to predict the time to cure, i.e., <1 virus copy in the entire extracellular body fluid.

resultsAll but one patient who relapsed achieved SVR. Mean age was 60±11years, 53% were male, 86% HCV genotype-1, 9% HIV coinfected, 43% advanced fibrosis (F3), and 57% had cirrhosis. At weeks 2, 4 and 6, 48%, 88% and 100% of patients had HCV<15IU/ml, with 27%, 74% and 91% of observations having target not detected, respectively. Modeling results predicted that 23 (43%), 16 (30%), 7 (13%), 5 (9%) and 3 (5%) subjects were predicted to reach cure within 6, 8, 10, 12 and 13weeks of therapy, respectively. The modeling suggested that the patient who relapsed would have benefitted from an additional week of sofosbuvir+ledipasvir. Adjusting duration of treatment according to the modeling predicts reduced medication costs of 43-45% and 17-30% in subjects who had HCV<15IU/ml at weeks 2 and 4, respectively.

conclusionsThe use of early viral kinetic analysis has the potential to individualize duration of DAA therapy with a projected average cost saving of 16-20% per 100-treated persons.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAntiviral AgentsBenzimidazolesCarbamatesDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleFluorenesHepatitis C, ChronicHumansImidazolesKineticsMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalPyrrolidinesAntiviral AgentsBenzimidazolesCarbamatesdaclatasvirFluorenesImidazolesledipasvirPyrrolidinesRNA, ViralSimeprevirSofosbuvirValineDuration of therapyHCVMathematical modelingSVRViral kinetics

Identifiers

PMID26907973
PMCPMC5081285

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.