Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26864674›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2016

Using electronic health records to predict costs and outcomes in stable coronary artery disease.

Miqdad Asaria, Simon Walker, Stephen Palmer, Chris P Gale, Anoop D Shah, Keith R Abrams, Michael Crowther, Andrea Manca, Adam Timmis, Harry Hemingway and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The optimal diagnostic strategies for patient with coronary artery diseases and stable chest pain syndrome: a cost-effectiveness analysis.The Egyptian heart journal : (EHJ) : official bulletin of the Egyptian Society of Cardiology · 2020
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Observational
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Miqdad AsariaCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Simon WalkerCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Stephen PalmerCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Chris P GaleFaculty of Medicine and Health, Leeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Anoop D ShahFarr Institute of Health Informatics Research, UCL Institute of Health Informatics, University College, London, UK.
Keith R AbramsDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Michael CrowtherDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Andrea MancaCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Adam TimmisNIHR Biomedical Research Unit, Barts and the London NHS Trust, London, UK.
Harry HemingwayFarr Institute of Health Informatics Research, UCL Institute of Health Informatics, University College, London, UK.
Mark SculpherCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.

Funding

Department of Health CDF-2009-02-21Department of Health DRF-2012-05-409Medical Research Council G0902393Medical Research Council MR/K006584/1Wellcome Trust 093830
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo use electronic health records (EHR) to predict lifetime costs and health outcomes of patients with stable coronary artery disease (stable-CAD) stratified by their risk of future cardiovascular events, and to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of treatments targeted at these populations.

methodsThe analysis was based on 94 966 patients with stable-CAD in England between 2001 and 2010, identified in four prospectively collected, linked EHR sources. Markov modelling was used to estimate lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) stratified by baseline cardiovascular risk.

resultsFor the lowest risk tenth of patients with stable-CAD, predicted discounted remaining lifetime healthcare costs and QALYs were £62 210 (95% CI £33 724 to £90 043) and 12.0 (95% CI 11.5 to 12.5) years, respectively. For the highest risk tenth of the population, the equivalent costs and QALYs were £35 549 (95% CI £31 679 to £39 615) and 2.9 (95% CI 2.6 to 3.1) years, respectively. A new treatment with a hazard reduction of 20% for myocardial infarction, stroke and cardiovascular disease death and no side-effects would be cost-effective if priced below £72 per year for the lowest risk patients and £646 per year for the highest risk patients.

conclusionsExisting EHRs may be used to estimate lifetime healthcare costs and outcomes of patients with stable-CAD. The stable-CAD model developed in this study lends itself to informing decisions about commissioning, pricing and reimbursement. At current prices, to be cost-effective some established as well as future stable-CAD treatments may require stratification by patient risk.

Indexed as

Health Care CostsAgedAged, 80 and overCoronary Artery DiseaseCost-Benefit AnalysisDatabases, FactualData MiningDecision Support TechniquesDisease ProgressionElectronic Health RecordsEnglandFemaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID26864674
PMCPMC4849559

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.