Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26847437›Full record

Trial reportBMC medicine2016

Limited role of culture conversion for decision-making in individual patient care and for advancing novel regimens to confirmatory clinical trials.

Patrick P J Phillips, Carl M Mendel, Divan A Burger, Angela M Crook, Angela Crook, Andrew J Nunn, Rodney Dawson, Andreas H Diacon, Stephen H Gillespie

Erratum issued 2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · goldAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 44 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
6.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00864383 phase3completednot on this map

A Randomised Placebo - Controlled Double Blind Trial Comparing 1) a Two Month Intensive Phase of Ethambutol, Moxifloxacin, Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide Versus the Standard Regimen (Ethambutol, Isoniazid, Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide) and 2) a Treatment Shortening Regimen Comparing Two Months Moxifloxacin, Isoniazid, Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide Followed by Two Months Moxifloxacin, Isoniazid, Rifampicin Versus the Standard Regimen (Two Months Ethambutol, Isoniazid, Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide Followed by Four Months Isoniazid and Rifampicin) for the Treatment of Adults With Pulmonary Tuberculosis

TypeinterventionalSponsorGlobal Alliance for TB Drug DevelopmentRan2008 to 2014Enrolled1,931ConditionsPulmonary TuberculosisArmsMoxifloxacin, Ethambutol, Isoniazid, Pyrazinamide & Rifampicin
NCT07018076 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Candidate Clinical Correlate of Prognostic Outcome for TB Study

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of California, San FranciscoRan2025 to 2027Enrolled750ConditionsTuberculosisArmsRS ratio, Blood-based host immune response assays
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 76 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Treatment Effect Measures for Culture Conversion Endpoints in Phase IIb Tuberculosis Treatment Trials.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Pooled it
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  11. Article
  12. Beyond culturability: VBNC-like and differentially culturableFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Patrick P J PhillipsMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Aviation House, 125 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6NH, UK. patrick.phillips@ucl.ac.uk.
Carl M MendelGlobal Alliance for TB Drug Development, New York, NY, USA.
Divan A BurgerDepartment of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa.
Angela M Crook
Angela CrookMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Aviation House, 125 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6NH, UK.
Andrew J NunnMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Aviation House, 125 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6NH, UK.
Rodney DawsonDivision of Pulmonology and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town Lung Institute, Mowbray, Cape Town, South Africa.
Andreas H DiaconDivision of Physiology, Department of Medical Biochemistry, Stellenbosch University, Tygerberg, Cape Town, South Africa.
Stephen H GillespieSchool of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL · GBStellenbosch University · ZATB Alliance · USUniversity of Cape Town · ZAUniversity of St Andrews · GBUniversity of the Free State · ZA

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/27
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite recent increased clinical trials activity, no regimen has proved able to replace the standard 6-month regimen for drug-sensitive tuberculosis. Understanding the relationship between microbiological markers measured during treatment and long-term clinical outcomes is critical to evaluate their usefulness for decision-making for both individual patient care and for advancing novel regimens into time-consuming and expensive pivotal phase III trials.

methodsUsing data from the randomized controlled phase III trial REMoxTB, we evaluated sputum-based markers of speed of clearance of bacilli: time to smear negative status; time to culture negative status on LJ or in MGIT; daily rate of change of log10(TTP) to day 56; and smear or culture results at weeks 6, 8 or 12; as individual- and trial-level surrogate endpoints for long-term clinical outcome.

resultsTime to culture negative status on LJ or in MGIT, time to smear negative status and daily rate of change in log10(TTP) were each independent predictors of clinical outcome, adjusted for treatment (p <0.001). However, discrimination between low and high risk patients, as measured by the c-statistic, was modest and not much higher than the reference model adjusted for BMI, history of smoking, HIV status, cavitation, gender and MGIT TTP.

conclusionsCulture conversion during treatment for tuberculosis, however measured, has only a limited role in decision-making for advancing regimens into phase III trials or in predicting the outcome of treatment for individual patients. REMoxTB ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00864383.

Indexed as

BiomarkersAdultAntitubercular AgentsDecision MakingDisease ProgressionDrug Resistance, MicrobialFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient CareSputumTuberculosisAntitubercular AgentsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID26847437
PMCPMC4743210
OpenAlexW2265525897

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.