Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26844289›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2015

Prospective Testing and Redesign of a Temporal Biomarker Based Risk Model for Patients With Septic Shock: Implications for Septic Shock Biology.

Hector R Wong, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Nick Anas, Geoffrey L Allen, Neal J Thomas, Michael T Bigham, Scott L Weiss, Julie Fitzgerald, Paul A Checchia, Keith Meyer and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Presepsin: Hope in the Quest for the Holy Grail.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2022
    Article
  3. Sepsis Biomarkers.Journal of pediatric intensive care · 2019
    Review
  4. A Two-Biomarker Model Predicts Mortality in the Critically Ill with Sepsis.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2017
    Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Hector R WongDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH, United States; Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Natalie Z CvijanovichUCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland, Oakland, CA, United States.
Nick AnasChildren's Hospital of Orange County, Orange, CA, United States.
Geoffrey L AllenChildren's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, MO, United States.
Neal J ThomasPenn State Hershey Children's Hospital, Hershey, PA, United States.
Michael T BighamAkron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH, United States.
Scott L WeissThe Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
Julie FitzgeraldThe Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
Paul A ChecchiaTexas Children's Hospital and Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States.
Keith MeyerMiami Children's Hospital, Miami, FL, United States.
Michael QuasneyCS Mott Children's Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Mark HallNationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH, United States.
Rainer GedeitChildren's Hospital of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, United States.
Robert J FreishtatChildren's National Medical Center, Washington, DC, United States.
Jeffrey NowakChildren's Hospital and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States.
Shekhar S RajRiley Hospital for Children, Indianapolis, IN, United States.
Shira GertzHackensack University Medical Center, Joseph M. Sanzari Children's Hospital, Hackensack, NJ, United States.
Kelli HowardDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Kelli HarmonDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Patrick LahniDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Erin FrankDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Kimberly W HartDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, United States.
Christopher J LindsellDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, United States.

Funding

Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingUL1TR000077 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$9.9M
HOST RESPONSE TO TRAUMA RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM008478 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI TIMOTHY A PRITTS, BASILIA ZINGARELLI · 1993 to 2026
$6.7M
Genomic analysis of pediatric SIRS and septic shockR01GM064619 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2003 to 2009
$3.0M
Novel diagnostic and stratification tools for septic shockR01GM108025 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2014 to 2017
$2.3M
Stratification of pediatric septic shockR01GM099773 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2012 to 2015
$1.5M
NCATS NIH HHS 8UL1 TR000077NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM064619NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM108025NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM108025NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM008478
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The temporal version of the pediatric sepsis biomarker risk model (tPERSEVERE) estimates the risk of a complicated course in children with septic shock based on biomarker changes from days 1 to 3 of septic shock. We validated tPERSEVERE performance in a prospective cohort, with an a priori plan to redesign tPERSEVERE if it did not perform well. Biomarkers were measured in the validation cohort (n = 168) and study subjects were classified according to tPERSEVERE. To redesign tPERSEVERE, the validation cohort and the original derivation cohort (n = 299) were combined and randomly allocated to training (n = 374) and test (n = 93) sets. tPERSEVERE was redesigned using the training set and CART methodology. tPERSEVERE performed poorly in the validation cohort, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.67 (95% CI: 0.58-0.75). Failure analysis revealed potential confounders related to clinical characteristics. The redesigned tPERSEVERE model had an AUC of 0.83 (0.79-0.87) and a sensitivity of 93% (68-97) for estimating the risk of a complicated course. Similar performance was seen in the test set. The classification tree segregated patients into two broad endotypes of septic shock characterized by either excessive inflammation or immune suppression.

Indexed as

BiomarkersModels, TheoreticalAdolescentArea Under CurveChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHumansInfantMalePatient Outcome AssessmentPrognosisProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRiskBiomarkersBiomarkersEndotypeImmune SuppressionInflammationModelingOutcomePredictionSepsis

Identifiers

PMID26844289
PMCPMC4703723

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.