Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26817637›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2016

Independent predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events in emergency department patients who are hospitalised with a suspected infection: a retrospective cohort study.

Bas de Groot, Stefanie van den Berg, Joanne Kessler, Annemieke Ansems, Douwe Rijpsma

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Cause-Specific Mortality After Hospitalisation in COPD.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025
    Article
  2. Sepsis - it is all about the platelets.Frontiers in immunology · 2023
    Review
  3. Major adverse cardiovascular events in older emergency department patients presenting with non-cardiac medical complaints.Netherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Bas de GrootEmergency Department, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Stefanie van den BergEmergency Department, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Joanne KesslerEmergency Department, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Annemieke AnsemsEmergency Department, Rijnstate Hospital, Arnhem, The Netherlands.
Douwe RijpsmaEmergency Department, Rijnstate Hospital, Arnhem, The Netherlands.
Leiden University Medical Center · NLRijnstate Hospital · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEmergency department (ED) patients hospitalised with a suspected infection have an increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). This study aims to identify independent predictors of MACE after hospital admission which could be used for identification of high-risk patients who may benefit from preventive strategies.

settingDutch tertiary care centre and urban hospital.

participantsConsecutive, hospitalised, ED patients with a suspected infection.

designThis was a secondary analysis using an existing database in which consecutive, hospitalised, ED patients with a suspected infection were prospectively enrolled. Potential independent predictors, including illness severity, as assessed by the Predisposition, Infection, Response, Organ failure (PIRO) score, and classic cardiac risk factors were analysed by multivariable binary logistic regression. Prognostic and discriminative performance of the model was quantified by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operator characteristics with area under the curve (AUC) analyses, respectively. Maximum sensitivity and specificity for identification of MACE were calculated. PRIMARY OUTCOME: MACE within 90 days after hospital admission.

results36 (2.1%) of the 1728 included patients developed MACE <90 days after ED presentation. Independent predictors of MACE were the RO components of the PIRO score, reflecting acute organ failure, with a corrected OR (OR (95% CI) 1.1 (1.0 to 1.3) per point increase), presence of atrial fibrillation/flutter; OR 3.9 (2.0 to 7.7) and >2 classic cardiovascular risk factors; 2.2 (1.1 to 4.3). The AUC was 0.773, and the goodness-of-fit test had a p value of 0.714. These predictors identified MACE with 75% sensitivity and 70% specificity.

conclusionsBesides the classical cardiovascular risk factors, atrial fibrillation and signs of acute organ failure were independent risk factors of MACE in ED patients hospitalised with a suspected infection. Future studies should investigate whether preventive measures like antiplatelet therapy should be initialised in hospitalised ED patients with suspected infection and high risk for MACE.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalHospitalizationAdolescentAdultArea Under CurveAtrial FibrillationHumansInfectionsNetherlandsOrgan Dysfunction ScoresPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveSeverity of Illness Index

Identifiers

PMID26817637
PMCPMC4735138
OpenAlexW2302110726

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.