Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26817636›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2016

Target prices for mass production of tyrosine kinase inhibitors for global cancer treatment.

Andrew Hill, Dzintars Gotham, Joseph Fortunak, Jonathan Meldrum, Isabelle Erbacher, Manuel Martin, Haitham Shoman, Jacob Levi, William G Powderly, Mark Bower

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrew HillDepartment of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Dzintars GothamFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Joseph FortunakChemistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Howard University, Washington DC, USA.
Jonathan MeldrumFaculty of Medical Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Isabelle ErbacherFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Manuel MartinFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Haitham ShomanFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jacob LeviFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
William G PowderlyInstitute for Public Health, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Mark BowerNational Centre for HIV Malignancy, Chelsea & Westminster Hospital, London, UK.
Imperial College London · GBChelsea and Westminster Hospital · GBHoward University · USUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GBWashington University in St. Louis · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo calculate sustainable generic prices for 4 tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs).

backgroundTKIs have proven survival benefits in the treatment of several cancers, including chronic myeloid leukaemia, breast, liver, renal and lung cancer. However, current high prices are a barrier to treatment. Mass production of low-cost generic antiretrovirals has led to over 13 million people being on HIV/AIDS treatment worldwide. This analysis estimates target prices for generic TKIs, assuming similar methods of mass production.

methodsFour TKIs with patent expiry dates in the next 5 years were selected for analysis: imatinib, erlotinib, lapatinib and sorafenib. Chemistry, dosing, published data on per-kilogram pricing for commercial transactions of active pharmaceutical ingredient (API), and quotes from manufacturers were used to estimate costs of production. Analysis included costs of excipients, formulation, packaging, shipping and a 50% profit margin. Target prices were compared with current prices. Global numbers of patients eligible for treatment with each TKI were estimated.

resultsAPI costs per kg were $347-$746 for imatinib, $2470 for erlotinib, $4671 for lapatinib, and $3000 for sorafenib. Basing on annual dose requirements, costs of formulation/packaging and a 50% profit margin, target generic prices per person-year were $128-$216 for imatinib, $240 for erlotinib, $1450 for sorafenib, and $4020 for lapatinib. Over 1 million people would be newly eligible to start treatment with these TKIs annually.

conclusionsMass generic production of several TKIs could achieve treatment prices in the range of $128-$4020 per person-year, versus current US prices of $75161-$139,138. Generic TKIs could allow significant savings and scaling-up of treatment globally, for over 1 million eligible patients.

Indexed as

CommerceAntineoplastic AgentsDrug IndustryErlotinib HydrochlorideGlobal HealthHumansImatinib MesylateLapatinibNeoplasmsNiacinamidePhenylurea CompoundsProtein Kinase InhibitorsProtein-Tyrosine KinasesQuinazolinesSorafenibAntineoplastic AgentsErlotinib HydrochlorideImatinib MesylateLapatinibNiacinamidePhenylurea CompoundsProtein Kinase InhibitorsProtein-Tyrosine KinasesQuinazolinesSorafenibHEALTH ECONOMICSONCOLOGYPUBLIC HEALTHTHERAPEUTICS

Identifiers

PMID26817636
PMCPMC4735306
OpenAlexW2280888958

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.