ArticleEuropean journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society2014
Age and mortality after injury: is the association linear?
Article in European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) as a prognostic marker in polytrauma: predicting 30-day mortality and coagulation support needs.Internal and emergency medicine · 2026Article
- Geriatric polytrauma patients should not be excluded from aggressive injury treatment based on age alone.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2022Article
- Cervical Injury Outcomes among Older Adults Admitted to an Inpatient Trauma Service.The journal of nutrition, health & aging · 2021Article
- Weekend Effect on in-Hospital Mortality for Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke in US Rural and Urban Hospitals.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2020Observational
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
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Abstract
introductionMultiple studies have demonstrated a linear association between advancing age and mortality after injury. An inflection point, or an age at which outcomes begin to differ, has not been previously described. We hypothesized that the relationship between age and mortality after injury is non-linear and an inflection point exists.
methodsWe performed a retrospective cohort analysis at our urban level I center from 2007 through 2009. All patients aged 65 years and older with the admission diagnosis of injury were included. Non-parametric logistic regression was used to identify the functional form between mortality and age. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to explore the association between age and mortality. Age 65 years was used as the reference. Significance was defined as p < 0.05.
resultsA total of 1,107 patients were included in the analysis. One-third required intensive care unit (ICU) admission and 48 % had traumatic brain injury. 229 patients (20.6 %) were 84 years of age or older. The overall mortality was 7.2 %. Our model indicates that mortality is a quadratic function of age. After controlling for confounders, age is associated with mortality with a regression coefficient of 1.08 for the linear term (p = 0.02) and a regression coefficient of -0.006 for the quadratic term (p = 0.03). The model identified 84.4 years of age as the inflection point at which mortality rates begin to decline.
conclusionsThe risk of death after injury varies linearly with age until 84 years. After 84 years of age, the mortality rates decline. These findings may reflect the varying severity of comorbidities and differences in baseline functional status in elderly trauma patients. Specifically, a proportion of our injured patient population less than 84 years old may be more frail, contributing to increased mortality after trauma, whereas a larger proportion of our injured patients over 84 years old, by virtue of reaching this advanced age, may, in fact, be less frail, contributing to less risk of death.
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