Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26807755›Full record

ArticleThe American naturalist2016

Quantifying Global Drivers of Zoonotic Bat Viruses: A Process-Based Perspective.

Liam Brierley, Maarten J Vonhof, Kevin J Olival, Peter Daszak, Kate E Jones

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American naturalist, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Impacts of bat use of anthropogenic structures on bats and humans.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Pathogens and planetary change.Nature reviews. Biodiversity · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Impacts of biodiversity and biodiversity loss on zoonotic diseases.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Liam Brierley
Maarten J Vonhof
Kevin J Olival
Peter Daszak
Kate E Jones

Funding

The Ecology, Emergence and Pandemic Potential of Nipah virus in BangladeshR01TW005869 · FIC · WILDLIFE TRUST · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2002 to 2012
$5.5M
Risk of Viral Emergence from BatsR01AI079231 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2008 to 2012
$2.6M
FIC NIH HHS 3R01TW005869-06S1FIC NIH HHS R01 TW005869NIAID NIH HHS 1 R01 AI079231-01NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI079231
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emerging infectious diseases (EIDs), particularly zoonoses, represent a significant threat to global health. Emergence is often driven by anthropogenic activity (e.g., travel, land use change). Although disease emergence frameworks suggest multiple steps from initial zoonotic transmission to human-to-human spread, there have been few attempts to empirically model specific steps. We create a process-based framework to separate out components of individual emergence steps. We focus on early emergence and expand the first step, zoonotic transmission, into processes of generation of pathogen richness, transmission opportunity, and establishment, each with its own hypothesized drivers. Using this structure, we build a spatial empirical model of these drivers, taking bat viruses shared with humans as a case study. We show that drivers of both viral richness (host diversity and climatic variability) and transmission opportunity (human population density, bushmeat hunting, and livestock production) are associated with virus sharing between humans and bats. We also show spatial heterogeneity between the global patterns of these two processes, suggesting that high-priority locations for pathogen discovery and surveillance in wildlife may not necessarily coincide with those for public health intervention. Finally, we offer direction for future studies of zoonotic EIDs by highlighting the importance of the processes underlying their emergence.

Indexed as

ChiropteraAnimal HusbandryAnimalsBiodiversityClimateCommunicable Diseases, EmergingHumansModels, BiologicalPopulation DensityVirus DiseasesZoonosesbatsemerging infectious diseaseshotspotsland useviral richnesszoonoses

Identifiers

PMID26807755
PMCPMC9516484

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.