Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26796252›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2016

Stroke Severity Is a Crucial Predictor of Outcome: An International Prospective Validation Study.

Natalia S Rost, Alex Bottle, Jin-Moo Lee, Marc Randall, Steven Middleton, Louise Shaw, Vincent Thijs, Gabriel J E Rinkel, Thomas M Hemmen, Global Comparators Stroke GOAL collaborators

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 129 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
129citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

129 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  3. Stroke Severity in Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation Versus Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2021
    Pooled it
  4. The effect of angiopoietin-1 upregulation on the outcome of acute ischaemic stroke in rodent models: A meta-analysis.Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism : official journal of the International Society of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism · 2019
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  15. Cardiac dysfunction after acute ischaemic stroke: Long-term outcomes from the SICFAIL cohort.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2026
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69 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Natalia S RostStroke Division, Neurology Department, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (N.S.R.).
Alex BottleDr. Foster Unit at Imperial College London, London, UK (A.B.).
Jin-Moo LeeStroke Center, Department of Neurology and the Hope Center for Neurological Disorders, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO (J.M.L.).
Marc RandallSheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK (M.R.).
Steven MiddletonDr. Foster, London, UK (S.M.).
Louise ShawRoyal United Hospital Bath NHS Trust, Bath, UK (L.S.).
Vincent ThijsUniversity Hospitals Leuven, Department of Neurology, Leuven, Belgium (V.T.) Austin Health and Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia (V.T.).
Gabriel J E RinkelDepartment of Neurology & Neurosurgery, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, University Medical Center, Utrecht, The Netherlands (G.E.R.).
Thomas M HemmenUniversity of California - San Diego Health System, San Diego, CA (T.M.H.).
Global Comparators Stroke GOAL collaborators

Funding

Statins augment small vessel function and improve stroke outcomesR01NS082285 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ROST, NATALIA S · 2013 to 2017
$2.6M
NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS082285
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStroke is among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Without reliable prediction models and outcome measurements, comparison of care systems is impossible. We analyzed prospectively collected data from 4 countries to explore the importance of stroke severity in outcome prediction. METHODS AND

resultsFor 2 months, all acute ischemic stroke patients from the hospitals participating in the Global Comparators Stroke GOAL (Global Outcomes Accelerated Learning) collaboration received a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission and a modified Rankin Scale score at 30 and 90 days. These data were added to the administrative data set, and risk prediction models including age, sex, comorbidity index, and NIHSS were derived for in-hospital death within 7 days, all in-hospital death, and death and good outcome at 30 and 90 days. The relative importance of each variable was assessed using the proportion of explained variation. Of 1034 admissions for acute ischemic stroke, 614 had a full set of NIHSS and both modified Rankin Scale values recorded; of these, 507 patients could be linked to administrative data. The marginal proportion of explained variation was 0.7% to 4.0% for comorbidity index, and 11.3 to 25.0 for NIHSS score. The percentage explained by the model varied by outcome (16.6-29.1%) and was highest for good outcome at 30 and 90 days. There was high agreement between 30- and 90-day modified Rankin Scale scores (weighted κ=0.82).

conclusionsIn this prospective pilot study, the baseline NIHSS score was essential for prediction of acute ischemic stroke outcomes, followed by age; whereas traditional comorbidity index contributed little to the overall model. Future studies of stroke outcomes between different care systems will benefit from including a baseline NIHSS score.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesComorbidityEuropeHospital MortalityHumansPilot ProjectsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexStrokeTime FactorsUnited Statesmortalitystatisticsstrokesurvival

Identifiers

PMID26796252
PMCPMC4859362

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.