Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26787172›Full record

SynthesisClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2016

Risk of Late Relapse or Reinfection With Hepatitis C Virus After Achieving a Sustained Virological Response: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Bryony Simmons, Jawaad Saleem, Andrew Hill, Richard D Riley, Graham S Cooke

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 131 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
131citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

131 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Reinfection and Resistance Associated Substitutions Following a Minimal Monitoring Approach for Hepatitis C Virus Treatment in MINMON Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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71 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Bryony SimmonsDivision of Medicine, Imperial College London.
Jawaad SaleemDivision of Medicine, Imperial College London.
Andrew HillPharmacology and Therapeutics, Liverpool University.
Richard D RileyResearch Institute of Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, United Kingdom.
Graham S CookeDivision of Medicine, Imperial College London.

Funding

Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTreatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) can lead to sustained virological response (SVR) in over 90% of people. Subsequent recurrence of HCV, either from late relapse or reinfection, reverses the beneficial effects of SVR.

methodsA search identified studies analysing HCV recurrence post-SVR. The recurrence rate for each study was calculated using events/person years of follow-up (PYFU). Results were pooled using a random-effects model and used to calculate 5-year recurrence risk. Three patient groups were analysed: (1) Mono-HCV infected "low-risk" patients; (2) Mono-HCV infected "high-risk" patients (injecting drug users or prisoners); (3) human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/HCV coinfected patients. Recurrence was defined as confirmed HCV RNA detectability post-SVR.

resultsIn the 43 studies of HCV mono-infected "low-risk" patients (n = 7969) the pooled recurrence rate was 1.85/1000 PYFU (95% confidence interval [CI], .71-3.35; I(2) = 73%) leading to a summary 5-year recurrence risk of 0.95% (95% CI, .35%-1.69%). For the 14 studies of HCV monoinfected "high-risk" patients (n = 771) the pooled recurrence rate was 22.32/1000 PYFU (95% CI, 13.07-33.46; I(2) = 27%) leading to a summary 5-year risk of 10.67% (95% CI, 6.38%-15.66%). For the 4 studies of HIV/HCV coinfected patients the pooled recurrence rate was 32.02/1000 PYFU (95% CI, .00-123.49; I(2) = 96%) leading to a summary 5-year risk of 15.02% (95% CI, .00%-48.26%). The higher pooled estimates of recurrence in the high-risk and coinfected cohorts were driven by an increase in reinfection rather than late relapse.

conclusionsSVR appears durable in the majority of patients at 5 years post-treatment. The large difference in 5 year event rate by risk group is driven mainly by an increased reinfection risk.

Indexed as

Sustained Virologic ResponseAdolescentAdultAntiviral AgentsCoinfectionDrug UsersFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHepacivirusHepatitis CHepatitis C, ChronicHIV InfectionsHumansMaleRecurrenceRibavirinAntiviral AgentsRibavirinRNA, Viralhepatitis Crecurrencereinfectionrelapsesustained virologic response

Identifiers

PMID26787172
PMCPMC4772843

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.