Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26781245›Full record

SynthesisDer Nervenarzt2016

[Prevention of Alzheimer's dementia in Germany : A projection of the possible potential of reducing selected risk factors].

T Luck, S G Riedel-Heller

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Der Nervenarzt, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Dementia in Germany: Epidemiology and Prevention Potential.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

T LuckMedizinische Fakultät, Institut für Sozialmedizin, Arbeitsmedizin und Public Health (ISAP), Universität Leipzig, Philipp-Rosenthal-Straße 55, 04103, Leipzig, Deutschland. tobias.luck@medizin.uni-leipzig.de.
S G Riedel-HellerMedizinische Fakultät, Institut für Sozialmedizin, Arbeitsmedizin und Public Health (ISAP), Universität Leipzig, Philipp-Rosenthal-Straße 55, 04103, Leipzig, Deutschland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent international projections suggest that reducing the prevalence of seven well-established risk factors, midlife hypertension and obesity, diabetes mellitus, depression, physical inactivity, smoking and low educational attainment, may also substantially reduce the prevalence of Alzheimer's dementia (AD).

objectiveFollowing the procedures of the international projections, in this study we aimed to provide projections of a corresponding potential for prevention specific for Germany.

methodsFor each risk factor separately and combined (with adjustment for the association between the risk factors) we calculated (1) the population attributable risk (PAR) for AD, (2) the corresponding total number of attributable AD cases and (3) the potential number of current AD cases that may have been prevented by a 10 %, 25 % and 50 % lower prevalence of the risk factors.

resultsAccording to the population projections 30.5 % of the current AD cases in Germany could be attributable to the risk factors considered (305,000 AD cases in total). The highest estimated impact on AD prevalence was found for physical inactivity (PAR = 21.7 %, 217,000 attributable cases) and smoking (PAR = 14.9 %, 149,000 cases). A 10-50 % reduction in the prevalence of all seven risk factors could have potentially prevented 23,000-130,000 of the current AD cases in Germany.

conclusionThe identified possible substantial potential for reducing AD prevalence should act as a strong additional incentive to reduce the seven risk factors in Germany.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseComorbidityDiabetes MellitusEducational StatusFeasibility StudiesGermanyHumansHypertensionObesityPrevalenceProportional Hazards ModelsRisk Reduction BehaviorSedentary BehaviorSmokingSmoking PreventionAlzheimer dementiaLifestylePrevalencePreventionRisk factors

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.