Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26772869›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2016

The effect of antiretroviral therapy on all-cause mortality, generalized to persons diagnosed with HIV in the USA, 2009-11.

Catherine R Lesko, Stephen R Cole, H Irene Hall, Daniel Westreich, William C Miller, Joseph J Eron, Jianmin Li, Michael J Mugavero, CNICS Investigators

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Rapid initiation of antiretroviral therapy for people living with HIV.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2019
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Synthesis estimators for transportability with positivity violations by a continuous covariate.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Causal Inference Methods for Combining Randomized Trials and Observational Studies: A Review.Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
  11. Five-Year Mortality for Adults Entering Human Immunodeficiency Virus Care Under Universal Early Treatment Compared With the General US Population.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Observational
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  16. Article
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  18. Article
  19. The Effects of Hepatitis C Treatment Eligibility Criteria on All-cause Mortality Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2019
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Catherine R LeskoDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, NC, USA, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA, clesko2@jhu.edu.
Stephen R ColeDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, NC, USA.
H Irene HallNational Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Daniel WestreichDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, NC, USA.
William C MillerDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, NC, USA, Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina, NC, USA and.
Joseph J EronDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina, NC, USA and.
Jianmin LiNational Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Michael J MugaveroDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
CNICS Investigators
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USJohns Hopkins University · USNational Center for HIV/AIDS Viral Hepatitis STD and TB Prevention · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · US

Funding

Unsolicited R24 for the CFAR-Network of Integrated Clinical Sciences, CNICSR24AI067039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Michael S. Saag · 2006 to 2026
$99.4M
Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Integrating ENGagement and Adherence Goals Upon Entry iENGAGE to Control HIVR01AI103661 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI MUGAVERO, MICHAEL J · 2012 to 2016
$4.0M
From patients to policy: innovative epidemiology for implementation scienceDP2HD084070 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WESTREICH, DANIEL J · 2014 to 2014
$2.3M
Structural models for treatment and exposure effects in clinical HIV cohortsR01AI100654 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI COLE, STEPHEN R · 2013 to 2016
$1.6M
NCCDPHP CDC HHS DP2 HD084070NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI50410NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI100654NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI103661NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI067039NICHD NIH HHS DP2 HD084070
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough antiretroviral therapy (ART) is known to be protective against HIV-related mortality, the expected magnitude of effect is unclear because existing estimates of the effect of ART may not directly generalize to recently HIV-diagnosed persons.

methodsIn this study, we estimated 5-year mortality risks for immediate versus no ART initiation among patients (n = 12,547) in the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) using the complement of adjusted Kaplan-Meier survival functions. We subsequently standardized estimates to persons diagnosed with HIV in the USA between 2009 and 2011, who were enumerated using national surveillance data.

resultsThe 5-year mortality, had all patients in the CNICS immediately initiated ART, was 10.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): 9.3%, 11.9%] compared with 28.3% (95% CI: 19.1%, 37.5%) had ART initiation been delayed at least 5 years. The 5-year mortality risk difference due to ART among patients in the CNICS was -17.7% (95% CI: -27.0%, -8.4%). Based on methods for generalizing an estimate from a study sample to a different target population, the expected risk difference due to ART initiation among recently HIV-diagnosed persons in the USA was -19.1% (95% CI: -30.5%, -7.8%).

conclusionsImmediate ART initiation substantially lowers mortality among persons in the CNICS and this benefit is expected to be similar among persons recently diagnosed with HIV in the USA. We demonstrate a method by which concerns about generalizability can be addressed and evaluated quantitatively.

Indexed as

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveMortalityAdolescentAdultCD4 Lymphocyte CountCohort StudiesFemaleHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRNA, ViralTreatment OutcomeUnited StatesRNA, Viralantiretroviral therapyeffect modificationexternal validitygeneralizabilityHIVmortalitysurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID26772869
PMCPMC5013889
OpenAlexW2302748448

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.