ArticleEpidemiology and infection2016
Understanding the effects of different HIV transmission models in individual-based microsimulation of HIV epidemic dynamics in people who inject drugs.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.
- A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025Pooled it
- HIV transmission risk among people living with HIV in Zhejiang Province, China: data from a large cross-sectional study, 2022.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Agent based modelling of blood borne viruses: a scoping review.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Extent and implications of omitted ties on network measures in a longitudinal social network survey of people who use drugs.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2022Article
- The role of depression in secondary HIV transmission among people who inject drugs in Vietnam: A mathematical modeling analysis.PloS one · 2022Article
- Predicting the Effectiveness of Endemic Infectious Disease Control Interventions: The Impact of Mass Action versus Network Model Structure.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2021Article
- A review of network simulation models of hepatitis C virus and HIV among people who inject drugs.The International journal on drug policy · 2021Review
- Health outcomes and cost-effectiveness of diversion programs for low-level drug offenders: A model-based analysis.PLoS medicine · 2020Article
- Introducing CASCADEPOP: an open-source sociodemographic simulation platform for us health policy appraisal.International Journal of Microsimulation · 2020Article
- Potential drivers of HIV acquisition in African-American women related to mass incarceration: an agent-based modelling study.BMC public health · 2018Article
- Article
- Structural Sensitivity in HIV Modeling: A Case Study of Vaccination.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
We investigated how different models of HIV transmission, and assumptions regarding the distribution of unprotected sex and syringe-sharing events ('risk acts'), affect quantitative understanding of HIV transmission process in people who inject drugs (PWID). The individual-based model simulated HIV transmission in a dynamic sexual and injecting network representing New York City. We constructed four HIV transmission models: model 1, constant probabilities; model 2, random number of sexual and parenteral acts; model 3, viral load individual assigned; and model 4, two groups of partnerships (low and high risk). Overall, models with less heterogeneity were more sensitive to changes in numbers risk acts, producing HIV incidence up to four times higher than that empirically observed. Although all models overestimated HIV incidence, micro-simulations with greater heterogeneity in the HIV transmission modelling process produced more robust results and better reproduced empirical epidemic dynamics.
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Registered trials
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