ArticleThe European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care2017
A short note on measuring subjective life expectancy: survival probabilities versus point estimates.
Article in The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Valuing Mortality Risk Reductions and Health Improvements: A Life Expectancy Framework to Harmonize Policy Traditions.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026Article
- Urban-town-rural disparities in subjective life expectancy among middle-aged and elderly adults in China: evidence from the CHARLS 2020.BMC public health · 2025Observational
- Reforming pensions in Africa: Addressing coverage, payout disparities, and dementia outcomes for sustainable aging.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025Article
- Effects of Future Subjective Expectations on Cognitive Decline and Dementia among Middle-Aged and Older Adults.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Comparing actuarial and subjective healthy life expectancy estimates: A cross-sectional survey among the general population in Hungary.PloS one · 2022Article
- Factors Associated With Subjective Life Expectancy: Comparison With Actuarial Life Expectancy.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2017Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
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Abstract
Understanding subjective longevity expectations is important, but measurement is not straightforward. Two common elicitation formats are the direct measurement of a subjective point estimate of life expectancy and the assessment of survival probabilities to a range of target ages. This study presents one of the few direct comparisons of these two methods. Results from a representative sample of the Dutch population indicate that respondents on average gave higher estimates of longevity using survival probabilities (83.6 years) compared to point estimates (80.2 years). Individual differences between elicitation methods were smaller for younger respondents and for respondents with a higher socioeconomic status. The correlation between the subjective longevity estimations was moderate, but their associations with respondents' characteristics were similar. Our results are in line with existing literature and suggest that findings from both elicitation methods may not be directly comparable, especially in certain subgroups of the population. Implications of inconsistent and focal point answers, rounding and anchoring require further attention. More research on the measurement of subjective expectations is required.
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