Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26749360›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer research and treatment2016

Assessing cost-utility of predictive biomarkers in oncology: a streamlined approach.

Anton Safonov, Shiyi Wang, Cary P Gross, Divyansh Agarwal, Giampaolo Bianchini, Lajos Pusztai, Christos Hatzis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast cancer research and treatment, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 100% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Quantifying the Impact of Capacity Constraints in Economic Evaluations: An Application in Precision Medicine.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2022
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Anton SafonovYale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA.
Shiyi WangYale School of Public Health, New Haven, USA.
Cary P GrossYale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA.
Divyansh AgarwalYale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA.
Giampaolo BianchiniSan Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Lajos PusztaiYale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA.
Christos HatzisYale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA. christos.hatzis@yale.edu.
Yale University · USYale Cancer Center · USSan Raffaele University of Rome · IT

Funding

Yale University Clinical and Translational Science Award ProgramTL1TR000141 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SHERWIN, ROBERT S · 2012 to 2015
$720k
NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR000141NCATS NIH HHS TL1TR000141
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evaluation of cost-utility is critical in assessing the medical utility of predictive or prognostic biomarkers. Current methods involve complex state-transition models, requiring comprehensive data inputs. We propose a simplified decision-analytic tool to explore the relative effect of factors contributing to the cost-utility of a biomarker. We derived a cost-utility metric, the "test incremental cost-effectiveness ratio" (TICER) for biomarker-guided treatment compared to no biomarker use. This method uses data inputs readily accessible through clinical literature. We compared our results with traditional cost-effectiveness analysis of predictive biomarkers for established (HER2-guided trastuzumab, ALK-guided crizotinib, OncotypeDX-guided adjuvant chemotherapy) and emerging (ROS1-guided crizotinib) targeted treatments. We conducted sensitivity analysis to determine which factors had the greatest impact on TICER estimates. Base case TICER for HER2 was $149,600/quality-adjusted life year (QALY), for ALK was $22,200/QALY, and for OncotypeDX was $11,600/QALY, consistent with literature-reported estimates ($180,000/QALY, $202,800/QALY, $8900/QALY, respectively). Base case TICER for ROS1-guided crizotinib was $205,900/QALY. Generally, when treatment cost is considerably greater than biomarker testing costs, TICER is driven by clinical outcomes and health-related quality of life, while biomarker prevalence and treatment cost have a lesser effect. Our simplified decision-analytic approach produces values consistent with existing cost-effectiveness analyses. Our results suggest that biomarker value is mostly driven by the clinical efficacy of the targeted agent. A user-friendly web tool for complete TICER analysis has been made available for open use at http://medicine.yale.edu/lab/pusztai/ticer/ .

Indexed as

BiomarkersChemotherapy, AdjuvantCost-Benefit AnalysisCrizotinibHealth Care CostsHumansMedical OncologyNeoplasmsProtein Kinase InhibitorsPyrazolesPyridinesQuality of LifeBiomarkersCrizotinibProtein Kinase InhibitorsPyrazolesPyridinesBreast cancerComparative effectivenessDecision analysisOncotypeDXOutcomesResearch

Identifiers

PMID26749360
PMCPMC5990969
OpenAlexW2227629329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.