ArticleGlobal change biology2016
Observing climate change trends in ocean biogeochemistry: when and where.
Article in Global change biology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global Drivers of Phytoplankton Phenology Trends.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Response of hypoxia to future climate change is sensitive to methodological assumptions.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Phytoplankton Assemblage over a 14-Year Period in the Adriatic Sea: Patterns and Trends.Biology · 2024Article
- Unraveling the physiological responses of morphologically distinct corals to low oxygen.PeerJ · 2024Article
- The Effects of Short-Term Exposure to pH Reduction on the Behavioral and Physiological Parameters of Juvenile Black Rockfish (Biology · 2023Article
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- Adaptive carbon export response to warming in the Sargasso Sea.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Synoptic Mesoscale to Basin Scale Variability in Biological Productivity and Chlorophyll in the Kuroshio Extension Region.Journal of geophysical research. Oceans · 2021Article
- Impact of intensifying nitrogen limitation on ocean net primary production is fingerprinted by nitrogen isotopes.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends.Global biogeochemical cycles · 2020Article
- A global assessment of the vulnerability of shellfish aquaculture to climate change and ocean acidification.Ecology and evolution · 2020Article
- Machine learning identifies a strong association between warming and reduced primary productivity in an oligotrophic ocean gyre.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Towards the integration of animal-borne instruments into global ocean observing systems.Global change biology · 2020Article
- Kelp forests at the end of the earth: 45 years later.PloS one · 2020Article
- Ocean colour signature of climate change.Nature communications · 2019Article
- Global patterns of change and variation in sea surface temperature and chlorophyll a.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Rapid warming and salinity changes in the Gulf of Maine alter surface ocean carbonate parameters and hide ocean acidification.Biogeochemistry · 2018Article
- Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems.Nature communications · 2017Article
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Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Understanding the influence of anthropogenic forcing on the marine biosphere is a high priority. Climate change-driven trends need to be accurately assessed and detected in a timely manner. As part of the effort towards detection of long-term trends, a network of ocean observatories and time series stations provide high quality data for a number of key parameters, such as pH, oxygen concentration or primary production (PP). Here, we use an ensemble of global coupled climate models to assess the temporal and spatial scales over which observations of eight biogeochemically relevant variables must be made to robustly detect a long-term trend. We find that, as a global average, continuous time series are required for between 14 (pH) and 32 (PP) years to distinguish a climate change trend from natural variability. Regional differences are extensive, with low latitudes and the Arctic generally needing shorter time series (<~30 years) to detect trends than other areas. In addition, we quantify the 'footprint' of existing and planned time series stations, that is the area over which a station is representative of a broader region. Footprints are generally largest for pH and sea surface temperature, but nevertheless the existing network of observatories only represents 9-15% of the global ocean surface. Our results present a quantitative framework for assessing the adequacy of current and future ocean observing networks for detection and monitoring of climate change-driven responses in the marine ecosystem.
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