ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016
Revealing the burden of obesity using weight histories.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 52 papers.
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Who cites it
52 citing papers in PubMed.
- Screening, Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Staging of Obesity in Adults: Standards of Care in Overweight and Obesity-2026.BMJ open diabetes research & care · 2026Review
- Insights into US life expectancy stagnation from birth cohort mortality dynamics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Economic Disadvantage During Childhood, Obesity, and Diabetes Across Three Birth Cohorts of Older Mexicans.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2024Article
- Immunotherapy and Overall Survival Among Patients With Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer and Obesity.JAMA network open · 2024Article
- Association of bone fracture with 30-year body mass index (BMI) trajectories: findings from the Framingham Heart Study : Bone fracture and 30-year BMI trajectories.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024Article
- Body mass index trajectories and mortality risk in Japan using a population-based prospective cohort study: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study.International journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- The association between weight change patterns and obesity-related complex multimorbidity: evidence from NHANES.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2024Article
- The psychological legacy of past obesity and early mortality: evidence from two longitudinal studies.BMC medicine · 2023Article
- The damaging duo: Obesity and excess dietary salt contribute to hypertension and cardiovascular disease.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2023Review
- Subtyping Patients With Chronic Disease Using Longitudinal BMI Patterns.IEEE journal of biomedical and health informatics · 2023Article
- Sources and severity of bias in estimates of the BMI-mortality association.Population studies · 2023Article
- Weight gain is associated with shorter lifespan: a longitudinal study of New Zealand soldiers serving in both world wars.Journal of biosocial science · 2023Article
- Weigh change across adulthood is related to the presence of NAFLD: results from NHANES III.Journal of translational medicine · 2023Article
- Increased all-cause mortality following occupational injury: a comparison of two states.Occupational and environmental medicine · 2022Article
- The mortality risk of being overweight in the twentieth century: Evidence from two cohorts of New Zealand men.Explorations in economic history · 2022Article
- Association of Abdominal Visceral Adiposity and Total Fat Mass with Cancer Incidence and Mortality in White and Black Adults.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022Article
- Older Adults in the United States Have Worse Cardiometabolic Health Compared to England.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2022Article
- Maximum and Time-Dependent Body Mass Index and Breast Cancer Incidence Among Postmenopausal Women in the Black Women's Health Study.American journal of epidemiology · 2022Article
- Weight management counseling experiences of first year medical students before starting medical school and their self-perceived impact on treating patients with obesity.Preventive medicine reports · 2021Article
- The impact of body mass index on one-year mortality after spinal cord injury.The journal of spinal cord medicine · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Analyses of the relation between obesity and mortality typically evaluate risk with respect to weight recorded at a single point in time. As a consequence, there is generally no distinction made between nonobese individuals who were never obese and nonobese individuals who were formerly obese and lost weight. We introduce additional data on an individual's maximum attained weight and investigate four models that represent different combinations of weight at survey and maximum weight. We use data from the 1988-2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, linked to death records through 2011, to estimate parameters of these models. We find that the most successful models use data on maximum weight, and the worst-performing model uses only data on weight at survey. We show that the disparity in predictive power between these models is related to exceptionally high mortality among those who have lost weight, with the normal-weight category being particularly susceptible to distortions arising from weight loss. These distortions make overweight and obesity appear less harmful by obscuring the benefits of remaining never obese. Because most previous studies are based on body mass index at survey, it is likely that the effects of excess weight on US mortality have been consistently underestimated.
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