Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26704725›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2016

Trajectory of body shape across the lifespan and cancer risk.

Mingyang Song, Walter C Willett, Frank B Hu, Donna Spiegelman, Aviva Must, Kana Wu, Andrew T Chan, Edward L Giovannucci

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
89citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
5.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

89 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 137 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Life Course Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Risk of Cancer in Adulthood: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
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  13. Timing of depression in relation to risk of ovarian cancer.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2025
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29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Mingyang SongClinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Walter C WillettDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Frank B HuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Donna SpiegelmanDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Aviva MustDepartment of Public Health and Community Medicine, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Kana WuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Andrew T ChanClinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Edward L GiovannucciDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Harvard University · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USTufts University · US

Funding

Statistical MethodsP01CA087969 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ROSNER, BERNARD A · 2000 to 2019
$77.8M
Transgenic CoreP30DK046200 · NIDDK · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI GREENBERG, ANDREW S, PERISSI, VALENTINA · 1992 to 2021
$25.0M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in Male Health ProfessionalsUM1CA167552 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2012 to 2016
$11.5M
Sleep Duration, Childhood Energy Balance, and Insulin Resistance in AdolescenceU54CA155626 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HU, FRANK B · 2011 to 2015
$9.6M
Mentored Patient-Oriented Research in Digestive DiseasesK24DK098311 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHAN, ANDREW T · 2013 to 2017
$930k
NCI NIH HHS 1U54CA155626NCI NIH HHS P01 CA087969NCI NIH HHS P01 CA87969NCI NIH HHS U54 CA155626NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA167552NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107NIDDK NIH HHS DK46200NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK098311NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK046200
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The influence of adiposity over life course on cancer risk remains poorly understood. We assessed trajectories of body shape from age 5 up to 60 using a group-based modeling approach among 73,581 women from the Nurses' Health Study and 32,632 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. After a median of approximately 10 years of follow-up, we compared incidence of total and obesity-related cancers (cancers of the esophagus [adenocarcinoma only], colorectum, pancreas, breast [after menopause], endometrium, ovaries, prostate [advanced only], kidney, liver and gallbladder) between these trajectories. We identified five distinct trajectories of body shape: lean-stable, lean-moderate increase, lean-marked increase, medium-stable, and heavy-stable/increase. Compared with women in the lean-stable trajectory, those in the lean-marked increase and heavy-stable/increase trajectories had a higher cancer risk in the colorectum, esophagus, pancreas, kidney, and endometrium (relative risk [RR] ranged from 1.22 to 2.56). Early life adiposity was inversely while late life adiposity was positively associated with postmenopausal breast cancer risk. In men, increased body fatness at any life period was associated with a higher risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma and colorectal cancer (RR ranged from 1.23 to 3.01), and the heavy-stable/increase trajectory was associated with a higher risk of pancreatic cancer, but lower risk of advanced prostate cancer. The trajectory-cancer associations were generally stronger for non-smokers and women who did not use menopausal hormone therapy. In conclusion, trajectories of body shape throughout life were related to cancer risk with varied patterns by sex and organ, indicating a role for lifetime adiposity in carcinogenesis.

Indexed as

AdiposityAdolescentAdultBody Mass IndexChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsOdds RatioPopulation Surveillancegroup-based modelinginduction periodlife course epidemiologyobesity

Identifiers

PMID26704725
PMCPMC5079685
OpenAlexW2206130117

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.