Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26700300›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2016

CD4 count at antiretroviral therapy initiation and the risk of loss to follow-up: results from a multicentre cohort study.

Anna Grimsrud, Morna Cornell, Michael Schomaker, Matthew P Fox, Catherine Orrell, Hans Prozesky, Kathryn Stinson, Frank Tanser, Matthias Egger, Landon Myer and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. CD4+ T-Cell Count at Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in the "Treat-All" Era in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Anna GrimsrudDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Morna CornellDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Michael SchomakerCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Matthew P FoxCenter for Global Health & Development, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Catherine OrrellFaculty of Health Sciences, Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute for Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Hans ProzeskyDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Stellenbosch, Cape Town, South Africa Tygerberg Academic Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa.
Kathryn StinsonCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa Médecins Sans Frontières, Cape Town, South Africa.
Frank TanserAfrica Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Mtubatuba, South Africa.
Matthias EggerDivision of International and Environmental Health, Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Landon MyerDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa Collaboration (IeDEA-SA)

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
CIHRNIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924Wellcome Trust 097410
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAntiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation is now recommended irrespective of CD4 count. However data on the relationship between CD4 count at ART initiation and loss to follow-up (LTFU) are limited and conflicting.

methodsWe conducted a cohort analysis including all adults initiating ART (2008-2012) at three public sector sites in South Africa. LTFU was defined as no visit in the 6 months before database closure. The Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox's proportional hazards models examined the relationship between CD4 count at ART initiation and 24-month LTFU. Final models were adjusted for demographics, year of ART initiation, programme expansion and corrected for unascertained mortality.

resultsAmong 17 038 patients, the median CD4 at initiation increased from 119 (IQR 54-180) in 2008 to 257 (IQR 175-318) in 2012. In unadjusted models, observed LTFU was associated with both CD4 counts <100 cells/μL and CD4 counts ≥300 cells/μL. After adjustment, patients with CD4 counts ≥300 cells/μL were 1.35 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.63) times as likely to be LTFU after 24 months compared to those with a CD4 150-199 cells/μL. This increased risk for patients with CD4 counts ≥300 cells/μL was largest in the first 3 months on treatment. Correction for unascertained deaths attenuated the association between CD4 counts <100 cells/μL and LTFU while the association between CD4 counts ≥300 cells/μL and LTFU persisted.

conclusionsPatients initiating ART at higher CD4 counts may be at increased risk for LTFU. With programmes initiating patients at higher CD4 counts, models of ART delivery need to be reoriented to support long-term retention.

Indexed as

Lost to Follow-UpAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountCohort StudiesContinuity of Patient CareFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRiskSouth AfricaTreatment OutcomeAnti-Retroviral AgentsEPIDEMIOLOGYHIVINTERNATIONAL HLTHLONGITUDINAL STUDIES

Identifiers

PMID26700300
PMCPMC4865447

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.