Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26671949›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2015

Effect of smoking on physical and cognitive capability in later life: a multicohort study using observational and genetic approaches.

Teri-Louise North, Tom M Palmer, Sarah J Lewis, Rachel Cooper, Chris Power, Alison Pattie, John M Starr, Ian J Deary, Richard M Martin, Avan Aihie Sayer and 6 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Systematic review and meta-analysis of the association between smoking and the incidence of frailty.Neuropsychiatrie : Klinik, Diagnostik, Therapie und Rehabilitation : Organ der Gesellschaft Osterreichischer Nervenarzte und Psychiater · 2019
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  10. Early-Life Conditions and Cognitive Function in Middle-and Old-Aged Chinese Adults: A Longitudinal Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Teri-Louise NorthSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Tom M PalmerSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Warwick, UK Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Sarah J LewisSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Rachel CooperMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, London, UK.
Chris PowerPopulation, Policy and Practice, UCL Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK.
Alison PattieDepartment of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
John M StarrCentre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Ian J DearyDepartment of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Richard M MartinSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK University of Bristol/University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust National Institute for Health Research Bristol Nutrition Biomedical Research Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Avan Aihie SayerMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Meena KumariISER, University of Essex, Essex, UK Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL, London, UK.
Cyrus CooperMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK National Institute for Health Research Nutrition Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK National Institute for Health Research Musculoskeletal Biomedical Research Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Mika KivimakiDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL, London, UK.
Diana KuhMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, London, UK.
Yoav Ben-ShlomoSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Ian N M DaySchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

Funding

Type 1 Diabetes Genetics ConsortiumU01DK062418 · NIDDK · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI RICH, STEPHEN S. · 2002 to 2007
$59.8M
Project-001R01AG017644 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON INST OF NEUROLOGY · PI Andrew Steptoe · 2000 to 2026
$56.2M
CHANGES IN HEALTH: SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS AND PATHWAYSR37AG013196 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON INST OF NEUROLOGY · PI MARMOT, MICHAEL G · 1999 to 2008
$4.3M
Socio-economic status and heterogeneity in agingR01AG013196 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON INST OF NEUROLOGY · PI MARMOT, MICHAEL G, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 1996 to 2013
$3.5M
Socioeconomic gradient in CHD in early old ageR01HL036310 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, MARMOT, MICHAEL G · 1986 to 2012
$3.1M
Health behaviors over the adult lifecourse and cognitive agingR01AG034454 · NIA · UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 2009 to 2013
$1.5M
Arthritis Research UKBiotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council 15/SAG09977Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/F019394/1British Heart FoundationChief Scientist Office CZB/4/505Chief Scientist Office CZG/3/2/79Chief Scientist Office CZH/4/213Chief Scientist Office ETM/55Department of HealthMedical Research Council G0000934Medical Research Council G1001799Medical Research Council K013351Medical Research Council MC_U147585819Medical Research Council MC_U147585827Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1014Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1015Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_12019/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12019/3Medical Research Council MC_UU_12019/4Medical Research Council MC_UU12019/4Medical Research Council MR/K013351/1Medical Research Council MR/K026992/1Medical Research Council MR/N01104X/1NHLBI NIH HHS HL36310NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL036310NIA NIH HHS AG13196NIA NIH HHS AG1764406S1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG013196NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034454NIA NIH HHS R01AG034454NIA NIH HHS R37 AG013196NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK062418Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 068545/Z/02Wellcome Trust 076113Wellcome Trust GR063779FR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe observed associations between smoking and functional measures at older ages are vulnerable to bias and confounding. Mendelian randomisation (MR) uses genotype as an instrumental variable to estimate unconfounded causal associations. We conducted a meta-analysis of the observational associations and implemented an MR approach using the smoking-related single nucleotide polymorphism rs16969968 to explore their causal nature.

setting9 British cohorts belonging to the HALCyon collaboration.

participantsIndividual participant data on N=26,692 individuals of European ancestry (N from earliest phase analysed per study) of mean ages 50-79 years were available for inclusion in observational meta-analyses of the primary outcomes. PRIMARY OUTCOMES: Physical capability, cognitive capability and cognitive decline. The smoking exposures were cigarettes per day, current versus ex-smoker, current versus never smoker and ever versus never smoker.

resultsIn observational analyses current and ever smoking were generally associated with poorer physical and cognitive capability. For example, current smokers had a general fluid cognition score which was 0.17 z-score units (95% CI -0.221 to -0.124) lower than ex-smokers in cross-sectional analyses. Current smokers had a walk speed which was 0.25 z-score units lower than never smokers (95% CI -0.338 to -0.170). An MR instrumental variable approach for current versus ex-smoker and number of cigarettes smoked per day produced CIs which neither confirmed nor refuted the observational estimates. The number of genetic associations stratified by smoking status were consistent with type I error.

conclusionsOur observational analysis supports the hypothesis that smoking is detrimental to physical and cognitive capability. Further studies are needed for a suitably powered MR approach.

Indexed as

CognitionHumansMendelian Randomization AnalysisObservational Studies as TopicPhysical FitnessReceptors, NicotinicSmokingUnited KingdomWhite PeopleReceptors, NicotinicEPIDEMIOLOGYGENETICSGERIATRIC MEDICINE

Identifiers

PMID26671949
PMCPMC4679991

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.