Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26661929›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2015

Predictors of Mortality Up to 1 Year After Emergency Major Abdominal Surgery in Older Adults.

Zara Cooper, Susan L Mitchell, Rebecca J Gorges, Ronnie A Rosenthal, Stuart R Lipsitz, Amy S Kelley

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) as an Independent Prognostic Factor for Patients ≥80 Years with Small Bowel Obstruction (SBO).Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2023
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Central venous oxygen saturation/lactate ratio: a novel predictor of outcome following emergency open laparotomy.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2021
    Observational
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Defining Serious Illness Among Adult Surgical Patients.Journal of pain and symptom management · 2019
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Zara CooperDepartment of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Susan L MitchellInstitute for Aging Research, Hebrew Senior Life, Boston, Massachusetts.
Rebecca J GorgesDepartment of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Ronnie A RosenthalDepartment of Surgery, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Stuart R LipsitzCenter for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Amy S KelleyDepartment of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USJames J. Peters VA Medical Center · USYale University · US

Funding

Midcareer Mentoring Award for Patient-Oriented Research in AgingK24AG033640 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI MITCHELL, SUSAN L · 2009 to 2018
$1.8M
Improving Care for Older Adults with Serious IllnessK23AG040774 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI KELLEY, AMY STEVES · 2012 to 2016
$785k
The one year trajectory of elderly patients after cervical spine fractureR03AG042361 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COOPER, ZARA R · 2012 to 2013
$174k
NIA NIH HHS K23 AG040774NIA NIH HHS K24 AG033640NIA NIH HHS R03 AG042361
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo identify factors associated with mortality in older adults 30, 180, and 365 days after emergency major abdominal surgery.

designA retrospective study linked to Medicare claims from 2000 to 2010.

settingHealth and Retirement Study (HRS).

participantsMedicare beneficiaries aged 65.5 enrolled in the HRS from 2000 to 2010 with at least one urgent or emergency major abdominal surgery and a core interview from the HRS within 3 years before surgery. MEASUREMENTS: Survival analysis was used to describe all-cause mortality 30, 180, and 365 days after surgery. Complementary log-log regression was used to identify participant characteristics and postoperative events associated with poorer survival.

resultsFour hundred individuals had one of the urgent or emergency surgeries of interest, 24% of whom were aged 85 and older, 50% had coronary artery disease, 48% had cancer, 33% had congestive heart failure, and 37% experienced a postoperative complication. Postoperative mortality was 20% at 30 days, 31% at 180 days, and 34% at 365 days. Of those aged 85 and older, 50% were dead 1 year after surgery. After multivariate adjustment including postoperative complications, dementia (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.24-3.31), hospitalization within 6 months before surgery (HR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.12-2.28), and complications (HR = 3.45, 95% CI = 2.32-5.13) were independently associated with worse 1-year survival.

conclusionOverall mortality is high in many older adults up to 1 year after undergoing emergency major abdominal surgery. The occurrence of a complication is the clinical factor most strongly associated with worse survival.

Indexed as

1-year mortalityemergency surgerygeriatric surgerymajor abdominal surgerysurgical complications

Identifiers

PMID26661929
PMCPMC4688175
OpenAlexW2192501960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.