Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26646668›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2018

Mortality risks during extreme temperature events (ETEs) using a distributed lag non-linear model.

Michael J Allen, Scott C Sheridan

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The Impact of Ambient Temperature on Cardiorespiratory Mortality in Northern Greece.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Association between extreme heat and hospital admissions for cataract patients in Hefei, China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020
    Article
  12. Impact of Foehn Wind and Related Environmental Variables on the Incidence of Cardiac Events.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  13. Ambient temperature and non-accidental mortality: a time series study.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020
    Article
  14. Article
  15. The Mortality Response to Absolute and Relative Temperature Extremes.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
  16. Extreme temperature and mortality: evidence from China.International journal of biometeorology · 2019
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Additional new insights into Biometeorology.International journal of biometeorology · 2018
    Article
  19. The effects of hot nights on mortality in Barcelona, Spain.International journal of biometeorology · 2017
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Michael J AllenDepartment of Political Science and Geography, Old Dominion University, 7042 Batten Arts and Letters, Norfolk, VA, 23529, USA. mallen@odu.edu.
Scott C SheridanDepartment of Geography, Kent State University, Kent, OH, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between all-cause mortality and extreme temperature events (ETEs) from 1975 to 2004. For 50 U.S. locations, these heat and cold events were defined based on location-specific thresholds of daily mean apparent temperature. Heat days were defined by a 3-day mean apparent temperature greater than the 95th percentile while extreme heat days were greater than the 97.5th percentile. Similarly, calculations for cold and extreme cold days relied upon the 5th and 2.5th percentiles. A distributed lag non-linear model assessed the relationship between mortality and ETEs for a cumulative 14-day period following exposure. Subsets for season and duration effect denote the differences between early- and late-season as well as short and long ETEs. While longer-lasting heat days resulted in elevated mortality, early season events also impacted mortality outcomes. Over the course of the summer season, heat-related risk decreased, though prolonged heat days still had a greater influence on mortality. Unlike heat, cold-related risk was greatest in more southerly locations. Risk was highest for early season cold events and decreased over the course of the winter season. Statistically, short episodes of cold showed the highest relative risk, suggesting unsettled weather conditions may have some relationship to cold-related mortality. For both heat and cold, results indicate higher risk to the more extreme thresholds. Risk values provide further insight into the role of adaptation, geographical variability, and acclimatization with respect to ETEs.

Indexed as

MortalityCitiesExtreme ColdExtreme HeatHumansNonlinear DynamicsRiskUnited StatesCold spellDistributed lag non-linear modelExtreme temperature eventsHeat waveMortality

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.