ArticleeLife2015
Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic.
Article in eLife, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
69 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2019Pooled it
- Agent-based models of malaria transmission: a systematic review.Malaria journal · 2018Pooled it
- A systematic review of early modelling studies of Ebola virus disease in West Africa.Epidemiology and infection · 2017Pooled it
- Crosstalk between protein lipidation and ubiquitination in tumor biology.Apoptosis : an international journal on programmed cell death · 2026Review
- Mapping Incidence and Prevalence Peak Data for SIR Modeling Applications.Journal of mathematical biology · 2025Article
- Using real-time modelling to inform the 2017 Ebola outbreak response in DR Congo.Nature communications · 2024Article
- A comprehensive analysis of non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination on Ebolavirus disease outbreak: Stochastic modeling approach.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Representations of an Ebola 'outbreak' through Story Technologies.BMJ global health · 2024Article
- Investigation of vaccination game approach in spreading covid-19 epidemic model with considering the birth and death rates.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2022Article
- A drug-disease model for predicting survival in an Ebola outbreak.Clinical and translational science · 2022Article
- Developing forecasting capacity for public health emergency management in Africa using syndemics approach: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic.BMJ global health · 2022Article
- Spatio-temporal evolution and trend prediction of the incidence of Class B notifiable infectious diseases in China: a sample of statistical data from 2007 to 2020.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Transmission models indicate Ebola virus persistence in non-human primate populations is unlikely.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022Article
- Nonlinear growth and mathematical modelling of COVID-19 in some African countries with the Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative.Communications in nonlinear science & numerical simulation · 2022Article
- Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting.Statistics in medicine · 2021Article
- The impact of long-term non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 epidemic dynamics and control: the value and limitations of early models.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- A review and agenda for integrated disease models including social and behavioural factors.Nature human behaviour · 2021Review
- Harnessing Social Media in the Modelling of Pandemics-Challenges and Opportunities.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2021Article
- Emergency preparedness for public health threats, surveillance, modelling & forecasting.The Indian journal of medical research · 2021Review
- Ensemble bootstrap methodology for forecasting dynamic growth processes using differential equations: application to epidemic outbreaks.BMC medical research methodology · 2021Article
9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
As of November 2015, the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic that began in West Africa in late 2013 is waning. The human toll includes more than 28,000 EVD cases and 11,000 deaths in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, the most heavily-affected countries. We reviewed 66 mathematical modeling studies of the EVD epidemic published in the peer-reviewed literature to assess the key uncertainties models addressed, data used for modeling, public sharing of data and results, and model performance. Based on the review, we suggest steps to improve the use of modeling in future public health emergencies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.