ArticlePeerJ2015
Rapid drop in the reproduction number during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Article in PeerJ, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks.Epidemics · 2019Article
- Herd Immunity to Ebolaviruses Is Not a Realistic Target for Current Vaccination Strategies.Frontiers in immunology · 2018Article
- Products of Compartmental Models in Epidemiology.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2017Article
- Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2016Article
- Effects of distribution of infection rate on epidemic models.Physical review. E · 2016Article
- Potential Impact of Sexual Transmission on Ebola Virus Epidemiology: Sierra Leone as a Case Study.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) experienced a confined rural outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) with 69 reported cases from July to October 2014. Understanding the transmission dynamics during the outbreak can provide important information for anticipating and controlling future EVD epidemics. I fitted an EVD transmission model to previously published data of this outbreak and estimated the basic reproduction number R 0 = 5.2 (95% CI [4.0-6.7]). The model suggests that the net reproduction number Rt fell below unity 28 days (95% CI [25-34] days) after the onset of symptoms in the index case. This study adds to previous epidemiological descriptions of the 2014 EVD outbreak in DRC, and is consistent with the notion that a rapid implementation of control interventions helped reduce further spread.
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