Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26611792›Full record

ArticleThe European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care2016

The time horizon matters: results of an exploratory study varying the timeframe in time trade-off and standard gamble utility elicitation.

Louis S Matza, Kristina S Boye, David H Feeny, Lee Bowman, Joseph A Johnston, Katie D Stewart, Kelly McDaniel, Jessica Jordan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Time trade-off health state utility values for depression: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Health state utilities associated with invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and recurrent acute otitis media in young children.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025
    Article
  3. Assessment of health state utilities associated with adult and pediatric acid sphingomyelinase deficiency (ASMD).The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  4. The effect of duration and time preference on the gap between adult and child health state valuations in time trade-off.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Censoring in the time trade-off valuation of worse-than-dead EQ-5D-5L health states: can a time-based willingness-to-accept question be the solution?Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Health state utilities associated with post-surgical Staphylococcus aureus infections.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2019
    Article
  9. Health state utilities and subjective well-being among psoriasis vulgaris patients in mainland China.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2018
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Health state utilities associated with attributes of treatments for hepatitis C.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Louis S MatzaOutcomes Research, Evidera, 7101 Wisconsin Avenue, Suite 1400, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA. louis.matza@evidera.com.
Kristina S BoyeEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
David H FeenyDepartment of Economics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Lee BowmanEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Joseph A JohnstonEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Katie D StewartOutcomes Research, Evidera, 7101 Wisconsin Avenue, Suite 1400, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA.
Kelly McDanielOutcomes Research, Evidera, 7101 Wisconsin Avenue, Suite 1400, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA.
Jessica JordanOutcomes Research, Evidera, 7101 Wisconsin Avenue, Suite 1400, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe purpose of this study was to examine whether the time horizon of time trade-off (TTO) and standard gamble (SG) utility assessment influences utility scores and discrimination between health states.

methodsIn two phases, UK general population participants rated three osteoarthritis health states in TTO and SG procedures with two time horizons: (1) 10-year and (2) a time horizon derived from self-reported additional life expectancy (ALE). The two time horizons were compared in terms of mean utilities and discrimination among health states.

resultsIn Phase 1, the 10-year tasks were completed by 80 participants, 35 of whom also completed utility assessment with the ALE. In Phase 2, all 101 participants completed procedures with both time horizons. Utility scores tended to be lower with the ALE than the 10-year, a difference that was statistically significant for two health states with SG in Phase 1 (P < 0.05), two health states with TTO in Phase 2 (P < 0.01), and one health state with SG in Phase 2 (P < 0.001). In Phase 1, rates of discrimination between mild and moderate osteoarthritis health states were significantly higher with the ALE than the 10-year (TTO: P = 0.03; SG: P = 0.001). This pattern of discrimination was similar in Phase 2. DISCUSSION: Results suggest that the time horizon could influence utility scores and discrimination among health states. When designing utility evaluations, researchers should carefully consider the time horizon so that the value of health states is accurately represented in cost-utility models.

Indexed as

Health StatusSickness Impact ProfileAdultAgedArthroplasty, Replacement, HipCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHealth Status IndicatorsHumansInterviews as TopicLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedOsteoarthritis, HipPainQuality of LifeStandard gambleTime horizonTime trade-offUtility

Identifiers

PMID26611792
PMCPMC5047932

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.