Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26597113›Full record

ArticleCirculation2015

Stroke in Adults With Congenital Heart Disease: Incidence, Cumulative Risk, and Predictors.

Jonas Lanz, James M Brophy, Judith Therrien, Mohammed Kaouache, Liming Guo, Ariane J Marelli

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 71 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
71citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
8.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

71 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 169 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Point of care INR monitoring in cyanotic congenital heart disease-related compensatory erythrocytosis.International journal of cardiology. Congenital heart disease · 2026
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11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jonas LanzFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
James M BrophyFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
Judith TherrienFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
Mohammed KaouacheFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
Liming GuoFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
Ariane J MarelliFrom the McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.L., J.T., M.K., L.G., A.J.M.); Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.M.B., A.J.M.); and Division of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada (J.T.).
Jewish General Hospital · CA

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStroke is an important cause of morbidity and mortality, although there is a lack of comprehensive data on its incidence, cumulative risk, and predictors in patients with adult congenital heart disease. METHODS AND

resultsThis retrospective study of 29 638 Quebec patients with adult congenital heart disease aged 18 to 64 years between 1998 and 2010 was based on province-wide administrative data. The cumulative risk of ischemic stroke estimated up to age 64 years was 6.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.0-7.0%) in women and 7.7% (95% CI, 6.4-8.8%) in men; the risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 0.8% (95% CI, 0.4-1.2%) and 1.3% (95% CI, 0.8-1.8%), respectively. Compared with rates reported for the general Quebec population, age-sex standardized incidence rates of ischemic stroke were 9 to 12 times higher below age 55 years and 2 to 4 times higher in the age group 55 to 64 years; hemorrhagic stroke rates were 5 to 6 times (age <55 years) and 2 to 3 times higher. Using a combination of stepwise model selection and Bayesian model averaging, the strongest predictors of ischemic stroke were heart failure (odds ratio for age group 18-49 years, 5.94 [95% CI, 3.49-10.14], odds ratio for age group 50-64 years, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.06-2.66]), diabetes mellitus (odds ratio, 2.33 [95% CI, 1.66-3.28]), and recent myocardial infarction (odds ratio, 8.38 [95% CI, 1.77-39.58]).

conclusionsAmong patients with adult congenital heart disease, 1 in 11 men and 1 in 15 women experienced a stroke between ages 18 and 64 years. Stroke incidence was considerably higher than in the general population, especially at a younger age. The most important predictors of ischemic stroke were heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and recent myocardial infarction. Additional research is required to see whether advances in the management of adult congenital heart disease may reduce this substantial stroke rate.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesFemaleHeart Defects, CongenitalHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsStrokeYoung Adultcongenitalepidemiologyheart defectsincidencerisk factorsstroke

Identifiers

PMID26597113
OpenAlexW2186150902

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.