Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26592808›Full record

SynthesisNeuroImage2017

Group-regularized individual prediction: theory and application to pain.

Martin A Lindquist, Anjali Krishnan, Marina López-Solà, Marieke Jepma, Choong-Wan Woo, Leonie Koban, Mathieu Roy, Lauren Y Atlas, Liane Schmidt, Luke J Chang and 5 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in NeuroImage, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Graph-constrained Analysis for Multivariate Functional Data.Journal of multivariate analysis · 2025
    Article
  5. Decoding Mindfulness With Multivariate Predictive Models.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Modulating subjective pain perception with decoded Montreal Neurological Institute-space neurofeedback: a proof-of-concept study.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  8. Regulation of craving for real-time fMRI neurofeedback based on individual classification.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Limits of decoding mental states with fMRI.Cortex; a journal devoted to the study of the nervous system and behavior · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Multivariate spatial feature selection in fMRI.Social cognitive and affective neuroscience · 2021
    Article
  19. Observational
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Martin A LindquistJohns Hopkins University, USA.
Anjali KrishnanUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA; Brooklyn College of the City University of New York, USA.
Marina López-SolàUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Marieke JepmaUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Choong-Wan WooUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Leonie KobanUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Mathieu RoyConcordia University, USA.
Lauren Y AtlasNational Center for Complementary and Integrative Health, National Institutes of Health, USA.
Liane SchmidtINSEAD, France; Cognitive Neuroscience Laboratory, INSERM U960, Department of Cognitive Sciences, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris, France.
Luke J ChangUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Elizabeth A Reynolds LosinUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA; University of Miami, USA.
Hedwig EisenbarthUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Yoni K AsharUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Elizabeth DelkUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA.
Tor D WagerUniversity of Colorado Boulder, USA. Electronic address: tor.wager@colorado.edu.

Funding

TR&D 4: Algorithms for functional and anatomical brain analysisP41EB015909 · NIBIB · HUGO W. MOSER RES INST KENNEDY KRIEGER · PI VAN ZIJL, PETER CM · 2012 to 2020
$13.1M
The Neural Bases of Placebo Effects and their Relation to Regulatory ProcessesR01MH076136 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI WAGER, TOR D. · 2007 to 2023
$8.5M
fMRI-based Biomarkers for Multiple Components of PainR01DA035484 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI WAGER, TOR D. · 2013 to 2017
$3.1M
Longitudinal Causal Inferencer for fMRIR01EB016061 · NIBIB · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LINDQUIST, MARTIN · 2013 to 2020
$2.3M
Learning to avoid pain: Computational mechanisms and application to methamphetamiR01DA027794 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI WAGER, TOR D. · 2009 to 2013
$1.7M
NIBIB NIH HHS P41 EB015909NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB016061NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA027794NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA035484NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH076136
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multivariate pattern analysis (MVPA) has become an important tool for identifying brain representations of psychological processes and clinical outcomes using fMRI and related methods. Such methods can be used to predict or 'decode' psychological states in individual subjects. Single-subject MVPA approaches, however, are limited by the amount and quality of individual-subject data. In spite of higher spatial resolution, predictive accuracy from single-subject data often does not exceed what can be accomplished using coarser, group-level maps, because single-subject patterns are trained on limited amounts of often-noisy data. Here, we present a method that combines population-level priors, in the form of biomarker patterns developed on prior samples, with single-subject MVPA maps to improve single-subject prediction. Theoretical results and simulations motivate a weighting based on the relative variances of biomarker-based prediction-based on population-level predictive maps from prior groups-and individual-subject, cross-validated prediction. Empirical results predicting pain using brain activity on a trial-by-trial basis (single-trial prediction) across 6 studies (N=180 participants) confirm the theoretical predictions. Regularization based on a population-level biomarker-in this case, the Neurologic Pain Signature (NPS)-improved single-subject prediction accuracy compared with idiographic maps based on the individuals' data alone. The regularization scheme that we propose, which we term group-regularized individual prediction (GRIP), can be applied broadly to within-person MVPA-based prediction. We also show how GRIP can be used to evaluate data quality and provide benchmarks for the appropriateness of population-level maps like the NPS for a given individual or study.

Indexed as

BiomarkersMachine LearningAdultBrainBrain MappingFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMalePain PerceptionPattern Recognition, AutomatedYoung AdultBiomarkersEmpirical BayesfMRIMachine learningMega-analysisMeta-analysisMVPAPainPredictionShrinkageStatistical learning

Identifiers

PMID26592808
PMCPMC5071107

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.