ArticleScientific reports2015
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, local weather and occurrences of dengue virus serotypes.
Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 0 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effects of environmental factors on dengue incidence in the Central Region, Burkina Faso: A time series analyses.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- El Niño Southern Oscillation as an early warning tool for dengue outbreak in India.BMC public health · 2020Article
- Heatwaves and dengue outbreaks in Hanoi, Vietnam: New evidence on early warning.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Spatio-temporal spillover risk of yellow fever in Brazil.Parasites & vectors · 2018Article
- Early warning signal for dengue outbreaks and identification of high risk areas for dengue fever in Colombia using climate and non-climate datasets.BMC infectious diseases · 2017Article
- Risk assessment of dengue fever in Zhongshan, China: a time-series regression tree analysis.Epidemiology and infection · 2017Article
- Using Baidu Search Index to Predict Dengue Outbreak in China.Scientific reports · 2016Article
- Emerging Role of Zika Virus in Adverse Fetal and Neonatal Outcomes.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2016Review
- Climatic thresholds associated with increased dengue incidence across climate zones in Peru (2001-2022).The journal of climate change and healthArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Severe dengue fever is usually associated with secondary infection by a dengue virus (DENV) serotype (1 to 4) that is different to the serotype of the primary infection. Dengue outbreaks only occur following importations of DENV in Cairns, Australia. However, the majority of imported cases do not result in autochthonous transmission in Cairns. Although DENV transmission is strongly associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate cycle and local weather conditions, the frequency and potential risk factors of infections with the different DENV serotypes, including whether or not they differ, is unknown. This study used a classification tree model to identify the hierarchical interactions between Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), local weather factors, the presence of imported serotypes and the occurrence of the four autochthonous DENV serotypes from January 2000-December 2009 in Cairns. We found that the 12-week moving average of SOI and the 2-week moving average of maximum temperature were the most important factors influencing the variation in the weekly occurrence of the four DENV serotypes, the likelihoods of the occurrence of the four DENV serotypes may be unequal under the same environmental conditions, and occurrence may be influenced by changes in global and local environmental conditions in Cairns.
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