Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26573827›Full record

Trial reportTrials2015

Generalizing boundaries for triangular designs, and efficacy estimation at extended follow-ups.

Annabel Allison, Tansy Edwards, Raymond Omollo, Fabiana Alves, Dominic Magirr, Neal D E Alexander

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Trials, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01067443 (A Phase II Randomized, Parallel Arm, Open-labeled Clinical Trial to Assess the Safety and Efficacy of the Combination of Sodium Stibogluconate Plus Single Dose AmBisome®, Miltefosine Plus Single Dose AmBisome® and Miltefosine Alone for the Treatment of Primary Visceral Leishmaniasis in Eastern Africa), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01067443 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase II Randomized, Parallel Arm, Open-labeled Clinical Trial to Assess the Safety and Efficacy of the Combination of Sodium Stibogluconate Plus Single Dose AmBisome®, Miltefosine Plus Single Dose AmBisome® and Miltefosine Alone for the Treatment of Primary Visceral Leishmaniasis in Eastern Africa

TypeinterventionalSponsorDrugs for Neglected DiseasesRan2010 to 2011Enrolled151ConditionsPrimary Visceral LeishmaniasisArmsLiposomal amphotericin B (AmBisome®) and sodium stibogluconate, Liposomal amphotericin B + miltefosine, Miltefosine
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Annabel AllisonLancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 4YW, UK. a.allison@sheffield.ac.uk.
Tansy EdwardsMRC Tropical Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. tansy.edwards@lshtm.ac.uk.
Raymond OmolloDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative (DNDi) Africa, Centre for Clinical Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya. romollo@dndi.org.
Fabiana AlvesDNDi, Geneva, Switzerland. falves@dndi.org.
Dominic MagirrLancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 4YW, UK. dominic.magirr@meduniwien.ac.at.
Neal D E AlexanderMRC Tropical Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. neal.alexander@lshtm.ac.uk.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBDrugs for Neglected Diseases Initiative · CHKenya Medical Research Institute · KEMedical University of Vienna · ATUniversity of Sheffield · GB

Funding

Austrian Science Fund FWF P 23167Medical Research Council MR/K012126/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVisceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a parasitic disease transmitted by sandflies and is fatal if left untreated. Phase II trials of new treatment regimens for VL are primarily carried out to evaluate safety and efficacy, while pharmacokinetic data are also important to inform future combination treatment regimens. The efficacy of VL treatments is evaluated at two time points, initial cure, when treatment is completed and definitive cure, commonly 6 months post end of treatment, to allow for slow response to treatment and detection of relapses. This paper investigates a generalization of the triangular design to impose a minimum sample size for pharmacokinetic or other analyses, and methods to estimate efficacy at extended follow-up accounting for the sequential design and changes in cure status during extended follow-up.

methodsWe provided R functions that generalize the triangular design to impose a minimum sample size before allowing stopping for efficacy. For estimation of efficacy at a second, extended, follow-up time, the performance of a shrinkage estimator (SHE), a probability tree estimator (PTE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for estimation was assessed by simulation.

resultsThe SHE and PTE are viable approaches to estimate an extended follow-up although the SHE performed better than the PTE: the bias and root mean square error were lower and coverage probabilities higher.

conclusionsGeneralization of the triangular design is simple to implement for adaptations to meet requirements for pharmacokinetic analyses. Using the simple MLE approach to estimate efficacy at extended follow-up will lead to biased results, generally over-estimating treatment success. The SHE is recommended in trials of two or more treatments. The PTE is an acceptable alternative for one-arm trials or where use of the SHE is not possible due to computational complexity.

trial registrationNCT01067443 , February 2010.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalComputer SimulationData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansKenyaLeishmaniasis, VisceralLikelihood FunctionsProbabilityRecurrenceRemission InductionResearch DesignSample SizeSudanTreatment OutcomeTrypanocidal AgentsTrypanocidal Agents

Identifiers

PMID26573827
PMCPMC4647805
OpenAlexW2175986163

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.