ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2016
Evolution of Minimum Mortality Temperature in Stockholm, Sweden, 1901-2009.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Impacts of exposure to ambient temperature on burden of disease: a systematic review of epidemiological evidence.International journal of biometeorology · 2019Pooled it
- Exploring 130 years of temperature-related mortality in the city of Madrid.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Quantifying localized heatwave impact on mortality: a multi-country modeling study in the Asia-Pacific region.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2025Article
- Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and the role of adaptation in protecting health.Nature medicine · 2024Article
- Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A multicountry multicommunity observational study spanning 1986-2015.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024Article
- Article
- The temporal change of heat exposure and adaptation capacity in Chinese adults from 1994 to 2023.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2023Article
- Heat Adaptation among the Elderly in Spain (1983-2018).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Temperature effects on incidence of surgery for acute type A aortic dissection in the Nordics.Global health action · 2022Article
- Trends in Temperature-associated Mortality in São Paulo (Brazil) between 2000 and 2018: an Example of Disparities in Adaptation to Cold and Heat.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022Article
- Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000-19: a three-stage modelling study.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2022Article
- Mortality Related to Air Temperature in European Cities, Based on Threshold Regression Models.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Nationwide Analysis of the Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality Trends in Switzerland between 1969 and 2017: The Role of Population Aging.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- Future heat adaptation and exposure among urban populations and why a prospering economy alone won't save us.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2021Article
- Long Term Adaptation to Heat Stress: Shifts in the Minimum Mortality Temperature in the Netherlands.Frontiers in physiology · 2020Article
- Projections of the effects of global warming on the disease burden of ischemic heart disease in the elderly in Tianjin, China.BMC public health · 2019Article
- Increasing mitigation ambition to meet the Paris Agreement's temperature goal avoids substantial heat-related mortality in U.S. cities.Science advances · 2019Article
- Investigating changes in mortality attributable to heat and cold in Stockholm, Sweden.International journal of biometeorology · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe mortality impacts of hot and cold temperatures have been thoroughly documented, with most locations reporting a U-shaped relationship with a minimum mortality temperature (MMT) at which mortality is lowest. How MMT may have evolved over previous decades as the global mean surface temperature has increased has not been thoroughly explored.
objectiveWe used observations of daily mean temperatures to investigate whether MMT changed in Stockholm, Sweden, from the beginning of the 20th century until 2009.
methodsDaily mortality and temperature data for the period 1901-2009 in Stockholm, Sweden, were used to model the temperature-mortality relationship. We estimated MMT using distributed lag nonlinear Poisson regression models considering lags up to 21 days of daily mean temperature as the exposure variable. To avoid large influences on the MMT from intra- and interannual climatic variability, we estimated MMT based on 30-year periods. Furthermore, we investigated whether there were trends in the absolute value of the MMT and in the relative value of the MMT (the corresponding percentile of the same-day temperature distribution) over the study period.
resultsOur findings suggest that both the absolute MMT and the relative MMT increased in Stockholm, Sweden, over the course of the 20th century.
conclusionsThe increase in the MMT over the course of the 20th century suggests autonomous adaptation within the context of the large epidemiological, demographical, and societal changes that occurred. Whether the rate of increase will be sustained with climate change is an open question. CITATION: Oudin Åström D, Tornevi A, Ebi KL, Rocklöv J, Forsberg B. 2016. Evolution of minimum mortality temperature in Stockholm, Sweden, 1901-2009. Environ Health Perspect 124:740-744; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509692.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.