Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26553915›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2016

A decision-theoretic phase I-II design for ordinal outcomes in two cycles.

Juhee Lee, Peter F Thall, Yuan Ji, Peter Müller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Innovative trial design in precision oncology.Seminars in cancer biology · 2022
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Juhee LeeDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Baskin School of Engineering, University of California, 1156 High Street, Mail Stop SOE2, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA juheelee@soe.ucsc.edu.
Peter F ThallDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Yuan JiProgram of Computational Genomics & Medicine, NorthShore University Health System, Evanston, IL, USA and Department of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Peter MüllerDepartment of Mathematics, University of Texas, Austin, TX, USA.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Kathrin Milbury · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Beagle: A Supercomputer for Computational Biology, Simulation, and Data AnalysisS10RR029030 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI FOSTER, IAN · 2010 to 2010
$7.0M
STATISTICAL METHODS FOR COMPLEX CANCER TRIALSR01CA083932 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI THALL, PETER F · 2000 to 2017
$2.3M
Bayesian models for cancer prognosis by integrating diverse types of dataR01CA132897 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI JI, YUAN, MUELLER, PETER · 2008 to 2019
$2.1M
Statistical Methods and Software for More Efficient, Ethical, and Affordable ClinR01CA157458 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CARLIN, BRADLEY P · 2012 to 2014
$939k
NCI NIH HHS 1-R01-CA157458-01A1NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS R01 CA083932NCI NIH HHS R01 CA132897NCI NIH HHS R01 CA157458NCI NIH HHS R01 CA 83932NCRR NIH HHS S10 RR029030NCRR NIH HHS S10 RR029030-01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper is motivated by a phase I-II clinical trial of a targeted agent for advanced solid tumors. We study a stylized version of this trial with the goal to determine optimal actions in each of two cycles of therapy. A design is presented that generalizes the decision-theoretic two-cycle design of Lee and others (2015. Bayesian dose-finding in two treatment cycles based on the joint utility of efficacy and toxicity. Journal of the American Statistical Association, to appear) to accommodate ordinal outcomes. Backward induction is used to jointly optimize the actions taken for each patient in each of the two cycles, with the second action accounting for the patient's cycle 1 dose and outcomes. A simulation study shows that simpler designs obtained by dichotomizing the ordinal outcomes either perform very similarly to the proposed design, or have much worse performance in some scenarios. We also compare the proposed design with the simpler approaches of optimizing the doses in each cycle separately, or ignoring the distinction between cycles 1 and 2.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase I as TopicClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicDecision TheoryResearch DesignHumansAdaptive designBayesian designDecision theoryDynamic treatment regimeLatent probit modelOrdinal outcomesPhase I–II clinical trial

Identifiers

PMID26553915
PMCPMC4834949

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.