Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26547301›Full record

ArticleTrials2015

How to assess success of treatment when using multiple doses: the case of misoprostol for medical abortion.

Armando H Seuc, Iqbal H Shah, Moazzam Ali, Claudia Diaz-Olavarrieta, Marleen Temmerman

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Trials, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact, top 93% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Self-administered versus provider-administered medical abortion.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Armando H SeucDepartment of Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, 1211, Geneva 27, Switzerland. seuca@who.int.
Iqbal H ShahDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, 665 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA. ishah@hsph.harvard.edu.
Moazzam AliDepartment of Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, 1211, Geneva 27, Switzerland. alimoa@who.int.
Claudia Diaz-OlavarrietaPopulation Council Mexico, Insurgentes Sur 2453 - Torre Murano Piso 9 Local 903, Col. Tizapán, Del. Álvaro Obregón, México City, 01090, Mexico. cdiaz@popcouncil.org.
Marleen TemmermanDepartment of Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, 1211, Geneva 27, Switzerland. temmermanm@who.int.
Harvard Global Health Institute · USPopulation Council · IN

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe assessment of treatment success in clinical trials when multiple (repeated) doses (courses) are involved is quite common, for example, in the case of infertility treatment with assisted reproductive technology (ART), and medical abortion using misoprostol alone or in combination with mifepristone. Under these or similar circumstances, most researchers assess success using binomial proportions after a certain number of consecutive doses, and some have used survival analysis. In this paper we discuss the main problems in using binomial proportions to summarize (the overall) efficacy after two or more consecutive doses of the relevant treatment, particularly for the case of misoprostol in medical abortion studies. We later discuss why the survival analysis is best suited under these circumstances, and illustrate this by using simulated data.

methodsThe formulas required for the binomial proportion and survival analysis (without and with competing risks) approaches are summarized and analytically compared. Additionally, numerical results are computed and compared between the two approaches, for several theoretical scenarios.

resultsThe main conceptual limitations of the binomial proportion approach are identified and discussed, caused mainly by the presence of censoring and competing risks, and it is demonstrated how survival analysis can solve these problems. In general, the binomial proportion approach tends to underestimate the "real" success rate, and tends to overestimate the corresponding standard error.

conclusionsDepending on the rates of censored observations or competing events between repeated doses of the treatment, the bias of the binomial proportion approach as compared to the survival analysis approaches varies; however, the use of the binomial approach is unjustified as the survival analysis options are well known and available in multiple statistical packages. Our conclusions also apply to other situations where success is estimated after multiple (repeated) doses (courses) of the treatment.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAbortifacient Agents, NonsteroidalAbortion, InducedClinical Trials as TopicComputer SimulationData Interpretation, StatisticalDose-Response Relationship, DrugEndpoint DeterminationFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateLife TablesMisoprostolNumerical Analysis, Computer-AssistedPregnancyResearch DesignAbortifacient Agents, NonsteroidalMisoprostol

Identifiers

PMID26547301
PMCPMC4637147
OpenAlexW2106625417

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.