ReviewInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2016
Bridging the gap between evidence and policy for infectious diseases: How models can aid public health decision-making.
Review in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of frameworks for the interrelationships of mental health evidence and policy in low- and middle-income countries.Health research policy and systems · 2018Pooled it
- Decision-Making in Public Health Crises: A Qualitative Systematic Review and Meta-Ethnography.Public health challenges · 2026Review
- Estimating modern US social contact patterns, the ENGAGED study: a study protocol for a staggered longitudinal cohort study.BMJ open · 2026Article
- Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Tuberculosis Outcomes in the United States: A Bayesian Analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026Article
- Evaluating voluntary care seeking effects on COVID-19 outcomes and health system costs.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Community participatory approaches in infectious disease dynamic transmission modelling: a scoping review protocol.BMJ open · 2025Article
- Assessing Public Health Capacity for Infectious Disease Modeling: A Qualitative Study of State and Local Agencies.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Article
- Cost-effectiveness decision modelling in social care: exploring the why, the how, and the what next.NIHR open research · 2025Review
- Early COVID-19 Pandemic Preparedness: Informing Public Health Interventions and Hospital Capacity Planning Through Participatory Hybrid Simulation Modeling.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- An inaugural forum on epidemiological modeling for public health stakeholders in Arizona.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Comprehensive profiling of social mixing patterns in resource poor countries: A mixed methods research protocol.PloS one · 2024Article
- Evidence-based Decision Making: Infectious Disease Modeling Training for Policymakers in East Africa.Annals of global health · 2024Article
- Designing, Implementing and Optimising a Capacity‑Building Model for Infectious Disease Modelling in India.Annals of global health · 2024Article
- Estimating the impact of vaccination: lessons learned in the first phase of the Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium.Gates open research · 2024Article
- The potential of genomics for infectious disease forecasting.Nature microbiology · 2022Review
- A novel approach for COVID-19 Infection forecasting based on multi-source deep transfer learning.Computers in biology and medicine · 2022Article
- Potential Effects of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic on Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Transmission: A Modeling Study in 32 US Cities.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022Article
- Forecasting COVID-19 Epidemic Trends by Combining a Neural Network withEntropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Evaluating online and tangible interfaces for engaging stakeholders in forecasting and control of biological invasions.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2021Article
- What Will It Take to End HIV in the United States? : A Comprehensive, Local-Level Modeling Study.Annals of internal medicine · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The dominant approach to decision-making in public health policy for infectious diseases relies heavily on expert opinion, which often applies empirical evidence to policy questions in a manner that is neither systematic nor transparent. Although systematic reviews are frequently commissioned to inform specific components of policy (such as efficacy), the same process is rarely applied to the full decision-making process. Mathematical models provide a mechanism through which empirical evidence can be methodically and transparently integrated to address such questions. However, such models are often considered difficult to interpret. In addition, models provide estimates that need to be iteratively re-evaluated as new data or considerations arise. Using the case study of a novel diagnostic for tuberculosis, a framework for improved collaboration between public health decision-makers and mathematical modellers that could lead to more transparent and evidence-driven policy decisions for infectious diseases in the future is proposed. The framework proposes that policymakers should establish long-term collaborations with modellers to address key questions, and that modellers should strive to provide clear explanations of the uncertainty of model structure and outputs. Doing so will improve the applicability of models and clarify their limitations when used to inform real-world public health policy decisions.
Indexed as
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.