Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26540028›Full record

Trial reportJAMA oncology2016

Erlotinib and the Risk of Oral Cancer: The Erlotinib Prevention of Oral Cancer (EPOC) Randomized Clinical Trial.

William N William, Vassiliki Papadimitrakopoulou, J Jack Lee, Li Mao, Ezra E W Cohen, Heather Y Lin, Ann M Gillenwater, Jack W Martin, Mark W Lingen, Jay O Boyle and 14 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in JAMA oncology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00402779 (Erlotinib Prevention of Oral Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 80 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
80citing papers in PubMed
6.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00402779 phase3completednot on this map

Erlotinib Prevention of Oral Cancer (EPOC)

TypeinterventionalSponsorM.D. Anderson Cancer CenterRan2006 to 2018Enrolled303ConditionsOral CancerArmsErlotinib, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

80 citing papers in PubMed, 148 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Met Receptor Tyrosine Kinase and Chemoprevention of Oral Cancer.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2018
    Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Interferon Epsilon Loss Is Elusive 9p21 Link to Immune-Cold Tumors, Resistant to Immune Checkpoint Therapy, and Endogenous CXCL9/10 Induction.Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer · 2025
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. The Crucial Role of Smoking Cessation in Preventing Oral Cancer.Journal of pharmacy & bioallied sciences · 2024
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

20 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

William N WilliamDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Vassiliki PapadimitrakopoulouDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
J Jack LeeDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Li MaoDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston3The Marlene and Stewart Greenebaum Cancer Center, University of Maryland, Baltimore4Department of Oncology and Diagnostic Sciences, University.
Ezra E W CohenMoores Cancer Center, University of California San Diego, La Jolla6Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
Heather Y LinDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Ann M GillenwaterDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Jack W MartinDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Mark W LingenDepartment of Pathology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
Jay O BoyleDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Dong M ShinDepartment of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Nadarajah VigneswaranDepartment of Diagnostic and Biomedical Sciences, The University of Texas School of Dentistry, Houston.
Nancy ShinnDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston12Department of Palliative Care Medicine, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
John V HeymachDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Ignacio I WistubaDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston13Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Ximing TangDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston13Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Edward S KimDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston14Levine Cancer Institute, Carolinas Healthcare System, Charlotte, North Carolina.
Pierre SaintignyDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston15INSERM U1052, Cancer Research Center of Lyon, Lyon, France16CNRS UMR 5286, Cancer Research Center of Lyon, Lyon, France.
Elizabeth A BlairSection of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
Timothy MeillerThe Marlene and Stewart Greenebaum Cancer Center, University of Maryland, Baltimore4Department of Oncology and Diagnostic Sciences, University of Maryland, Baltimore.
J Silvio GutkindMoores Cancer Center, University of California San Diego, La Jolla18Oral and Pharyngeal Cancer Branch, National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Jeffrey MyersDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Adel El-NaggarDepartment of Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Scott M LippmanDepartment of Thoracic/Head & Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston5Moores Cancer Center, University of California San Diego, La Jolla.
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, San Diego · USUniversity of Chicago · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FREmory University · USLevine Cancer Institute · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USNational Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
VIRAL MALIGNANCYP30CA023100 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI DIANE M SIMEONE · 1985 to 2026
$124.9M
Targeting the p53 pathway for reversal of oral premalignancyP50CA097007 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI MYERS, JEFFREY NICHOLAS · 2002 to 2012
$26.1M
Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences (CCTS)UL1TR000371 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI MCPHERSON, DAVID D · 2012 to 2016
$13.4M
TARGETING COX-2 AND EGFR SIGNALING IN ORAL CARCINOGENESISP01CA106451 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LIPPMAN, SCOTT M · 2004 to 2009
$8.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000371NCI NIH HHS P01 CA106451NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P30 CA023100NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

importanceStandard molecularly based strategies to predict and/or prevent oral cancer development in patients with oral premalignant lesions (OPLs) are lacking.

objectiveTo test if the epidermal growth factor receptor inhibitor erlotinib would reduce oral cancer development in patients with high-risk OPLs defined by specific loss of heterozygosity (LOH) profiles. Secondary objectives included prospective determination of LOH as a prognostic marker in OPLs.

designThe Erlotinib Prevention of Oral Cancer (EPOC) study was a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-bind trial. Accrual occurred from November 2006 through July 2012, with a median follow-up time of 35 months in an ambulatory care setting in 5 US academic referral institutions. Patients with OPLs were enrolled in the protocol, and each underwent LOH profiling (N = 379); they were classified as high-risk (LOH-positive) or low-risk (LOH-negative) patients based on their LOH profiles and oral cancer history. The randomized sample consisted of 150 LOH-positive patients.

interventionsOral erlotinib treatment (150 mg/d) or placebo for 12 months. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Oral cancer-free survival (CFS).

resultsA total of 395 participants were classified with LOH profiles, and 254 were classified LOH positive. Of these, 150 (59%) were randomized, 75 each to the placebo and erlotinib groups. The 3-year CFS rates in placebo- and erlotinib-treated patients were 74% and 70%, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27; 95% CI, 0.68-2.38; P = .45). The 3-year CFS was significantly lower for LOH-positive compared with LOH-negative groups (74% vs 87%, HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.25-3.83; P = .01). Increased EGFR gene copy number correlated with LOH-positive status (P < .001) and lower CFS (P = .01). The EGFR gene copy number was not predictive of erlotinib efficacy. Erlotinib-induced skin rash was associated with improved CFS (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this trial, LOH was validated as a marker of oral cancer risk and found to be associated with increased EGFR copy number (the target of the intervention). Erlotinib did not, however, improve CFS in high-risk patients with LOH-positive or high-EGFR-gene-copy-number OPLs. These results support incorporation of LOH testing as a prognostic tool in routine clinical practice but do not support erlotinib use in this setting.

trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00402779.

Indexed as

Administration, OralAnticarcinogenic AgentsDisease-Free SurvivalDouble-Blind MethodDrug Administration ScheduleErbB ReceptorsErlotinib HydrochlorideFemaleHumansLoss of HeterozygosityMaleMiddle AgedMouth NeoplasmsPrecancerous ConditionsProspective StudiesProtein Kinase InhibitorsAnticarcinogenic AgentsEGFR protein, humanErbB ReceptorsErlotinib HydrochlorideProtein Kinase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID26540028
PMCPMC4771491
OpenAlexW2114575494

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.