Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26536149›Full record

ArticleResearch synthesis methods2016

A Bayesian missing data framework for generalized multiple outcome mixed treatment comparisons.

Hwanhee Hong, Haitao Chu, Jing Zhang, Bradley P Carlin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Research synthesis methods, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 64 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  14. Tipping point analysis in network meta-analysis.Research synthesis methods · 2025
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4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Hwanhee HongDepartment of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Haitao ChuDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, 55405, USA.
Jing ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA.
Bradley P CarlinDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, 55405, USA.

Funding

Women's CancerP30CA077598 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI Jeffrey S. Miller · 1998 to 2026
$100.4M
Research CoreU54MD008620 · NIMHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BRADY, SONYA S, SHIKANY, JAMES M · 2013 to 2017
$13.5M
Statistical Methods and Software for More Efficient, Ethical, and Affordable ClinR01CA157458 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CARLIN, BRADLEY P · 2012 to 2014
$939k
Statistical Methods and Software for Multivariate Meta-analysisR21LM012197 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CHU, HAITAO · 2015 to 2016
$385k
Bayesian Methods and Software for Patient-Centered Network Meta-Analysis of BinarR21AI103012 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CHU, HAITAO · 2013 to 2014
$385k
Aiding Effective Decision Making in Dental Research Using Network Meta-analysisR03DE024750 · NIDCR · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CHU, HAITAO, JOHN, MIKE · 2015 to 2016
$292k
Medical Research Council MR/M005232/1NCI NIH HHS 1R01-CA157458-01A1NCI NIH HHS P30CA077598NIAID NIH HHS AI103012NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI103012NIDCR NIH HHS R03 DE024750NIDCR NIH HHS R03DE024750NIMHD NIH HHS U54-MD008620NLM NIH HHS R21 LM012197
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bayesian statistical approaches to mixed treatment comparisons (MTCs) are becoming more popular because of their flexibility and interpretability. Many randomized clinical trials report multiple outcomes with possible inherent correlations. Moreover, MTC data are typically sparse (although richer than standard meta-analysis, comparing only two treatments), and researchers often choose study arms based upon which treatments emerge as superior in previous trials. In this paper, we summarize existing hierarchical Bayesian methods for MTCs with a single outcome and introduce novel Bayesian approaches for multiple outcomes simultaneously, rather than in separate MTC analyses. We do this by incorporating partially observed data and its correlation structure between outcomes through contrast-based and arm-based parameterizations that consider any unobserved treatment arms as missing data to be imputed. We also extend the model to apply to all types of generalized linear model outcomes, such as count or continuous responses. We offer a simulation study under various missingness mechanisms (e.g., missing completely at random, missing at random, and missing not at random) providing evidence that our models outperform existing models in terms of bias, mean squared error, and coverage probability then illustrate our methods with a real MTC dataset. We close with a discussion of our results, several contentious issues in MTC analysis, and a few avenues for future methodological development.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremAlgorithmsComputer SimulationHumansLinear ModelsOsteoarthritis, KneePainRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSelection BiasStatistics as TopicBayesian hierarchical modelMarkov chain Monte Carlomissingness mechanismnetwork meta-analysis

Identifiers

PMID26536149
PMCPMC4779385

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.