Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26511450›Full record

ArticleNeurology2015

Risk of rupture of unruptured cerebral aneurysms in elderly patients.

Tomohito Hishikawa, Isao Date, Koji Tokunaga, Shinjiro Tominari, Kazuhiko Nozaki, Yoshiaki Shiokawa, Kiyohiro Houkin, Yuichi Murayama, Toshihiro Ishibashi, Hiroyuki Takao and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Morphological characteristics of brain aneurysms among age groups.Interventional neuroradiology : journal of peritherapeutic neuroradiology, surgical procedures and related neurosciences · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Characteristics of Cerebral Aneurysms in Japan.Neurologia medico-chirurgica · 2019
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Tomohito HishikawaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan. t-hishi@md.okayama-u.ac.jp.
Isao DateFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Koji TokunagaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Shinjiro TominariFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Kazuhiko NozakiFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoshiaki ShiokawaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Kiyohiro HoukinFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Yuichi MurayamaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Toshihiro IshibashiFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Hiroyuki TakaoFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Toshikazu KimuraFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Takeo NakayamaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
Akio MoritaFrom the Department of Neurological Surgery (T.H., I.D., K.T.), Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama; Department of Health Informatics (S.T., T.N.), Kyoto University School of Public Health, Kyoto; Department of Neurosurgery (K.N.), Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga; Department of Neurosurgery (Y.S.), Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (K.H.), Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo; Division of Endovascular Neurosurgery (Y.M., T.I., H.T.), Department of Neurosurgery, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo; Department of Neurosurgery (T.K.), NTT Medical Center Tokyo; and UCAS Coordinating Office (A.M.), University of Tokyo, Department of Neurological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.
For UCAS Japan and UCAS II Investigators
Jikei University School of Medicine · JPOkayama University · JPNTT Medical Center · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe aim of this study was to identify risk factors for rupture of unruptured cerebral aneurysms (UCAs) in elderly Japanese patients aged 70 years or older.

methodsThe participants included all patients 70 years of age or older in 3 prospective studies in Japan (the Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysm Study of Japan [UCAS Japan], UCAS II, and the prospective study at the Jikei University School of Medicine). A total of 1,896 patients aged 70 years or older with 2,227 UCAs were investigated. The median and mean follow-up periods were 990 and 802.7 days, respectively.

resultsThe mean aneurysm size was 6.2 ± 3.9 mm. Sixty-eight patients (3.6%) experienced subarachnoid hemorrhage during the follow-up period. Multivariable analysis per patient revealed that in patients aged 80 years or older (hazard ratio [HR], 2.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-3.49, p = 0.012), aneurysms 7 mm or larger (HR, 3.08; 95% CI, 1.35-7.03, p = 0.007 for 7-9 mm; HR, 7.82; 95% CI, 3.60-16.98, p < 0.001 for 10-24 mm; and HR, 43.31; 95% CI, 12.55-149.42, p < 0.001 for ≥25 mm) and internal carotid-posterior communicating artery aneurysms (HR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.23-4.88, p = 0.011) were independent predictors for UCA rupture in elderly patients.

conclusionsIn our pooled analysis of prospective cohorts in Japan, patient age and aneurysm size and location were significant risk factors for UCA rupture in elderly patients.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAneurysm, RupturedFemaleHumansIntracranial AneurysmJapanMaleProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID26511450
PMCPMC4662696
OpenAlexW2174910392

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.