Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26511054›Full record

SynthesisProceedings. Biological sciences2015

Geographical variation in species' population responses to changes in temperature and precipitation.

James W Pearce-Higgins, Nancy Ockendon, David J Baker, Jamie Carr, Elizabeth C White, Rosamunde E A Almond, Tatsuya Amano, Esther Bertram, Richard B Bradbury, Cassie Bradley and 7 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  5. Identifying the demographic pathways linking environmental covariates to population dynamics in an avian migrant.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

James W Pearce-HigginsBritish Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk IP24 2PU, UK james.pearce-higgins@bto.org.
Nancy OckendonBritish Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk IP24 2PU, UK.
David J BakerBritish Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk IP24 2PU, UK School of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Durham University, South Road, Durham DH1 3LE, UK.
Jamie CarrIUCN Global Species Programme, 219c Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK.
Elizabeth C WhiteUnited Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK.
Rosamunde E A AlmondCambridge Conservation Initiative, c/o Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1AG, UK.
Tatsuya AmanoConservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK.
Esther BertramFauna and Flora International, Jupiter House, Station Road, Cambridge CB1 2JD, UK.
Richard B BradburyRSPB Centre for Conservation Science, RSPB, The Lodge, Sandy, Beds SG19 2DL, UK.
Cassie BradleyFauna and Flora International, Jupiter House, Station Road, Cambridge CB1 2JD, UK.
Stuart H M ButchartBirdLife International, Wellbrook Court, Cambridge CB3 0NA, UK.
Nathalie DoswaldUnited Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK.
Wendy FodenIUCN Global Species Programme, 219c Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK Department of Botany and Zoology, University of Stellenbosch, P/Bag X1, Matieland, 7602 Stellenbosch, South Africa.
David J C GillFauna and Flora International, Jupiter House, Station Road, Cambridge CB1 2JD, UK.
Rhys E GreenConservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, RSPB, The Lodge, Sandy, Beds SG19 2DL, UK.
William J SutherlandConservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK.
Edmund V J TannerDepartment of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EA, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite increasing concerns about the vulnerability of species' populations to climate change, there has been little overall synthesis of how individual population responses to variation in climate differ between taxa, with trophic level or geographically. To address this, we extracted data from 132 long-term (greater than or equal to 20 years) studies of population responses to temperature and precipitation covering 236 animal and plant species across terrestrial and freshwater habitats. Our results identify likely geographical differences in the effects of climate change on populations and communities in line with macroecological theory. Temperature tended to have a greater overall impact on populations than precipitation, although the effects of increased precipitation varied strongly with latitude, being most positive at low latitudes. Population responses to increased temperature were generally positive, but did not vary significantly with latitude. Studies reporting significant climatic trends through time tended to show more negative effects of temperature and more positive effects of precipitation upon populations than other studies, indicating climate change has already impacted many populations. Most studies of climate change impacts on biodiversity have focused on temperature and are from middle to high northern latitudes. Our results suggest their findings may be less applicable to low latitudes.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeRainTemperatureAnimalsEcosystemGeographyPlantsPopulation Dynamicsbiodiversityclimate changeclimatic limiting factorsenergy–water hypothesislatitudinal variation

Identifiers

PMID26511054
PMCPMC4650153

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.