Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26507962›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of colorectal disease2016

Prediction of anastomotic leak in colorectal cancer surgery based on a new prognostic index PROCOLE (prognostic colorectal leakage) developed from the meta-analysis of observational studies of risk factors.

S A Rojas-Machado, M Romero-Simó, A Arroyo, A Rojas-Machado, J López, R Calpena

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of colorectal disease, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05411783 (Low Tie Versus High Tie of the Inferior Mesenteric Vein During Colorectal Cancer Surgery), which is not on this map. Cited by 24 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05411783 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Low Tie Versus High Tie of the Inferior Mesenteric Vein During Colorectal Cancer Surgery: A Randomized Clinical Trial. LOTHVEIN Study

TypeinterventionalSponsorSan Carlo di Nancy HospitalRan2022 to 2023Enrolled84ConditionsAnastomotic Leak, Anastomotic Leak Large Intestine, Anastomotic Leak Rectum, Colon CancerArmsLow tie of IMV
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Obesity and anastomotic leak rates in colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis.International journal of colorectal disease · 2021
    Pooled it
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Differential Performance of Machine Learning Models in Prediction of Procedure-Specific Outcomes.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Colorectal anastomosis dehiscence: a call for more detailed morphological classification.Wideochirurgia i inne techniki maloinwazyjne = Videosurgery and other miniinvasive techniques · 2021
    Article
  14. Assessing abdominal aortic calcifications before performing colocolic or colorectal anastomoses: A case-control study.Journal of research in medical sciences : the official journal of Isfahan University of Medical Sciences · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Development of a Risk Score to Predict Anastomotic Leak After Left-Sided Colectomy: Which Patients Warrant Diversion?Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2020
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

S A Rojas-MachadoColoproctology Unit, Department of Surgery, University Hospital of Alicante, Alicante, Spain.
M Romero-SimóColoproctology Unit, Department of Surgery, University Hospital of Alicante, Alicante, Spain.
A ArroyoDepartment of Pathology and Surgery, School of Medicine, Miguel Hernandez University, Elche, Spain. arroyocir@hotmail.com.
A Rojas-MachadoColoproctology Unit, Department of Surgery, University Hospital of Alicante, Alicante, Spain.
J LópezDepartment of Pathology and Surgery, School of Medicine, Miguel Hernandez University, Elche, Spain.
R CalpenaDepartment of Pathology and Surgery, School of Medicine, Miguel Hernandez University, Elche, Spain.
Hospital General Universitario de Alicante Doctor Balmis · ESUniversitat de Miguel Hernández d'Elx · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo obtain a prognostic index, which has been named PROCOLE (prognostic colorectal leakage), it can predict the risk that a certain individual may suffer anastomotic leakage.

methodsThe methodology consists of a systematic review to identify potential risk factors for anastomotic leakage and a meta-analysis of studies of each of these factors. In the meta-analysis, the prognostic index integrates factors that are statistically significant, which are weighted according to the estimated value of the effect size. The prognostic index was validated using retrospectively collected data from patients who underwent colorectal cancer surgery anastomosis at our institution.

resultsThe mean and standard deviation of the PROCOLE prognostic index in patients with anastomotic leakage is 1.9 ± 6.13, whereas in controls, it is 3.63 ± 2.1. The predictive ability of the PROCOLE, assessed by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), results in an AUC of 0.82 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.75, 0.89) of the AUC, and it can be considered a good prognostic indicator.

conclusionsThe PROCOLE prognostic index predicts the risk of a certain individual developing anastomotic leakage after colorectal cancer surgery. Specifically, the PROCOLE prognostic index establishes a discrimination value threshold of 4.83 for recommending the implementation of a protective stoma. We have developed free software with a simple interface that only requires the selection of risk factors to obtain the PROCOLE value.

Indexed as

Anastomotic LeakColonColorectal NeoplasmsHumansObservational Studies as TopicPrognosisRectumRisk FactorsAnastomotic leakageMeta-analysisPrognosisRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID26507962
OpenAlexW1859293892

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.