ArticlePloS one2015
Climate Change and Crop Exposure to Adverse Weather: Changes to Frost Risk and Grapevine Flowering Conditions.
Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed.
- Responding to Stress: Diversity and Resilience of Grapevine in a Changing Climate Under the Perspective of Omics Research.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025Review
- Flavonoids profile and antioxidant capacity of four wine grape cultivars and their wines grown in the Turpan Basin of China, the hottest wine region in the world.Food chemistry: X · 2025Article
- A variety-specific analysis of climate change effects on California winegrapes.International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Assessing the influence of autumnal temperature fluctuations on cold hardiness in different grapevine cultivars: variations across vine age and bud positions.Frontiers in plant science · 2024Article
- Climate change adaptation through an integrative lens in Aotearoa New Zealand.Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand · 2024Review
- Studies on Improving the Efficiency of Somatic Embryogenesis in Grapevine (Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- A sensorless, Big Data based approach for phenology and meteorological drought forecasting in vineyards.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Non-linear loss of suitable wine regions over Europe in response to increasing global warming.Global change biology · 2023Article
- Preparation of Poly(vinyl Alcohol) Microparticles for Freeze Protection of Sensitive Fruit Crops.Polymers · 2022Article
- Agroclimatic Metrics for the Main Stone Fruit Producing Areas in Spain in Current and Future Climate Change Scenarios: Implications From an Adaptive Point of View.Frontiers in plant science · 2022Article
- Climate Change Effects on Grapevine Physiology and Biochemistry: Benefits and Challenges of High Altitude as an Adaptation Strategy.Frontiers in plant science · 2022Review
- Climate Change Impacts on Plant Phenology: Grapevine (Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Candidate genes and SNPs associated with stomatal conductance under drought stress in Vitis.BMC plant biology · 2021Article
- Climate-Fungal Pathogen Modeling Predicts Loss of Up to One-Third of Tea Growing Areas.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2021Article
- Projected Wine Grape Cultivar Shifts Due to Climate Change in New Zealand.Frontiers in plant science · 2021Article
- Article
- BotRisk: simulating the annual bunch rot risk on grapevines (Vitis vinifera L. cv. Riesling) based on meteorological data.International journal of biometeorology · 2020Article
- Young grapevines exhibit interspecific differences in hydraulic response to freeze stress but not in recovery.Planta · 2019Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit from the higher growing season temperatures predicted under future climate scenarios. Yet the effects of climate change on the risk of adverse weather conditions or events at key stages of crop development are not always captured by aggregated measures of seasonal or yearly climates, or by downscaling techniques that assume climate variability will remain unchanged under future scenarios. Using fine resolution projections of future climate scenarios for south-west England and grapevine phenology models we explore how risks to cool-climate vineyard harvests vary under future climate conditions. Results indicate that the risk of adverse conditions during flowering declines under all future climate scenarios. In contrast, the risk of late spring frosts increases under many future climate projections due to advancement in the timing of budbreak. Estimates of frost risk, however, were highly sensitive to the choice of phenology model, and future frost exposure declined when budbreak was calculated using models that included a winter chill requirement for dormancy break. The lack of robust phenological models is a major source of uncertainty concerning the impacts of future climate change on the development of cool-climate viticulture in historically marginal climatic regions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.