ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2015
Deciduous forest responses to temperature, precipitation, and drought imply complex climate change impacts.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed.
- Impacts of extreme climate change from 2000 to 2022 on net primary productivity in the Gaoligong Mountains.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Increased artificial illumination delays urban autumnal foliar senescence.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Short-term experimental flooding impacts soil biogeochemistry but not aboveground vegetation in a coastal forest.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Growing Season Lengthens in a North American Deciduous Woody Community From 1993 to 2021.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Time-Lag of Seasonal Effects of Extreme Climate Events on Grassland Productivity Across an Altitudinal Gradient in Tajikistan.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Widespread ecological novelty across the terrestrial biosphere.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Flavonoid Synthesis Pathway Response to Low-Temperature Stress in a Desert Medicinal Plant,Genes · 2024Article
- Assessment of Phenological Dynamics of Different Vegetation Types and Their Environmental Drivers with Near-Surface Remote Sensing: A Case Study on the Loess Plateau of China.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Consistent time allocation fraction to vegetation green-up versus senescence across northern ecosystems despite recent climate change.Science advances · 2024Article
- Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamic of subtropical forest carbon storage and its resistance and resilience to drought in China.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Autumn phenology of tree species in China is associated more with climate than with spring phenology and phylogeny.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Impact of microclimatic conditions and resource availability on spring and autumn phenology of temperate tree seedlings.The New phytologist · 2021Article
- Effects of the Simulated Enhancement of Precipitation on the Phenology ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Spatiotemporal Variation ofFrontiers in plant science · 2021Article
- Variable Fall Climate Conditions on Carbon Assimilation and Spring Phenology of Young Peach Trees.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020Article
- Why don't phenophase dates in the current year affect the same phenophase dates in the following year?International journal of biometeorology · 2020Article
- Water Addition Prolonged the Length of the Growing Season of the Desert ShrubFrontiers in plant science · 2020Article
- Spatial variance of spring phenology in temperate deciduous forests is constrained by background climatic conditions.Nature communications · 2019Article
- Rethinking false spring risk.Global change biology · 2019Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Changes in spring and autumn phenology of temperate plants in recent decades have become iconic bio-indicators of rapid climate change. These changes have substantial ecological and economic impacts. However, autumn phenology remains surprisingly little studied. Although the effects of unfavorable environmental conditions (e.g., frost, heat, wetness, and drought) on autumn phenology have been observed for over 60 y, how these factors interact to influence autumn phenological events remain poorly understood. Using remotely sensed phenology data from 2001 to 2012, this study identified and quantified significant effects of a suite of environmental factors on the timing of fall dormancy of deciduous forest communities in New England, United States. Cold, frost, and wet conditions, and high heat-stress tended to induce earlier dormancy of deciduous forests, whereas moderate heat- and drought-stress delayed dormancy. Deciduous forests in two eco-regions showed contrasting, nonlinear responses to variation in these explanatory factors. Based on future climate projection over two periods (2041-2050 and 2090-2099), later dormancy dates were predicted in northern areas. However, in coastal areas earlier dormancy dates were predicted. Our models suggest that besides warming in climate change, changes in frost and moisture conditions as well as extreme weather events (e.g., drought- and heat-stress, and flooding), should also be considered in future predictions of autumn phenology in temperate deciduous forests. This study improves our understanding of how multiple environmental variables interact to affect autumn phenology in temperate deciduous forest ecosystems, and points the way to building more mechanistic and predictive models.
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